Time for bold energy reform?


Hey Reader, in today's edition:

  • Energy ideas for Treasurer Chalmers
  • AGL taps flexible generation
  • The up and downside of data centres

Beyond home batteries, poles and wires

Treasurer Jim Chalmers is still three months away from handing down the 2025-26 federal budget in May, but industry and employer groups have already sent their wish lists to Canberra asking for big-ticket policy overhauls.

Depending on the appetite for reform, there are some standouts that could help speed up the clean electricity rollout, prepare for a future bi-directional grid and sensibly manage gas resources.

AGL taps flexible generation

Kicking off energy results season, AGL reported flat earnings for its first half in a period marked by lower volatility, with fewer opportunities to benefit from wholesale price spikes.

The gentailer confirmed what many in the sector have been reporting: the profile of the electricity market is changing, to one that experiences more peak demand spikes in winter and a relatively flatter profile in summer, in contrast to the historical Australian demand profile of summer price spikes on extremely hot days.

Data centre surge challenges, bolsters renewables business case

The growing power demand of AI and cloud data centres will require Australian generators and infrastructure operators to invest $15 billion to keep up, a new report from Moody’s has warned, weighing the implications of power demand that’s expected to grow from around 2% of NEM capacity today, to nearly 10% by 2035.

This includes around 6.5GW of firmed generation capacity, the analyst firm projects in mapping out a generation mix in which solar and wind provide half of energy demands, complemented by gas generators and batteries.

The significant power demands of data centres are both a challenge and an opportunity for renewable operators, who carry the risk of investing but also welcome the data centre industry’s reliance on power purchase agreements that bolster the financial case for that investment.

Catch Up

Capital

Airbus, Qantas (ASX: QAN) and industrial firm Thyssenkrupp Uhde have backed a $10 million Series A funding round that will see them become major investors in Australian low-carbon fuel innovator HAMR Energy, which is working to develop low-carbon liquid fuels manufactured from plantation forestry byproducts. HAMR is targeting sectors like aviation and shipping, with its Portland Renewable Fuels project in western Victoria intended to convert byproducts from local forestry work to produce 300,000 tonnes of low-carbon methanol per year. (SmartCompany)


Projects

The major redevelopment of Tasmania’s Tarraleah hydropower scheme has commenced the first phase of the construction tender as the government issued a request for proposals for engineering, procurement, and construction contractors. The 90MW power station, which opened in 1938, was marked for an upgrade in 2023 as it approached its end of life.


Policy

The Queensland government has appointed three companies to lead exploration for gas and petroleum in the Taroom Trough, promising to boost domestic gas supply once Omega TN, Tri-Star Stonecrof and Drillsearch Energy establish operations to locate and tap the 750km2 tenement. The trough, which is located over five hours’ drive west of Brisbane, “is emerging as a real prospect to become Australia’s first major oil province since the 1970s,” Minister for Natural Resources and Mines Dale Last said, noting that the Australian Market Supply Condition would prioritise the gas for Australian homes and business ahead of export markets.

Aiming to support the United States coal industry, US President Donald Trump is directing government bodies including the Pentagon to purchase power from coal plant generators to power military and other operations. The US Energy Department will also provide $246 million in funding for upgrades at six coal plants across five eastern states, even as major power generator the Tennessee Valley Authority grants a reprieve to two coal-fired power plants. (AFR)


Regulation

The Essential Services Commission’s (ESC) crackdown on fraud in the Victorian Energy Upgrades program continues, with Planetwise Solutions banned from the program after the ESC found the company had submitted “doctored” photos of allegedly decommissioned lights for reimbursement under the program – with additional lights apparently “digitally edited into the image”. All told, the ESC has now refused to register 1,435 Victorian energy efficient certificates worth $114,657.

Just 7% of Australian executives are designing their corporate sustainability reports to satisfy their regulatory obligations while 39% see investors as the key audience, according to a Workiva survey of 302 institutional investors and 1,497 executives. The survey also found executives see employees and customers as more relevant to setting the agenda than regulators. Fully 43% said they are aware of the risks of bad data, and are being more cautious about how they communicate news of their sustainability efforts externally.


Technology

Allegations that Chinese solar inverter manufacturers were embedding spyware into their products have been refuted in a US Department of Energy report that exonerates the claims made against manufacturing giants like Huawei, Sungrow, Ginlong/Solis, GoodWe, and Aiswei/Solplanet – which dominate the global solar inverter market. DOE analysis “found no definitive evidence of intentionally introduced malicious wireless functionality,” the report said, with just 2 out of 30 inverters differing from their official documentation and those changes ruled to be “non-malicious and non-intentional”. (Reuters)


Research

The merit-order effect of increasingly cost-effective variable renewable energy (VRE) sources is cannibalising the revenue streams of all generators as VRE capacity grows, according to a new analysis by Technical University of Denmark researchers. They analysed the impact of European renewables growth and found traditional levelised cost of electricity measures to be “simplistic” because they don’t account for the dispatchability or timing of VRE generation. Solar faces a higher cannibalisation risk than wind, they concluded after extensive modelling of factors affecting market value and value factor strategies and providing recommendations about the best mix to maintain revenues. (ScienceDirect)


People

VicGrid appointed three new members to its board, joining existing directors David Stegehuis and Kane Thornton. Seona James is managing director of Indigenous Cultural Connections and has 30 years’ experience in water, energy, environment and indigenous consultation while Wayne Weaire is a farmer, experienced director and former chief executive with 40 years’ experience with organisations including the Corangamite Catchment Management Authority. Jess Howard currently works with the City of Greater Bendigo as Director of Health Communities and Environments.

What's On

February 17
Briefing: Innovative housing solutions alongside the renewable energy roll-out

Bart Sykes, Regional Economic Development Manager at Squadron Energy; Vincent Dwyer, Co-Founder and CEO at Energy Estate; and Jess Adler, Corporate & Business Services Manager at WImmera Southern Mallee Development will speak at this RE-Alliance webinar.


February 19
Running a Digital Grid: The Next Challenge in the Energy Transition

Dani Alexander, CEO of the UNSW Energy Institute will moderate this webinar from The Energy, also featuring Emma Fagan, General Manager for Policy and Regulatory Affairs with Akaysha Energy; and Antti Harjula, Technical Director of Power System Performance and Connections with Powerlink Queensland. Register here to attend, or to view the recording later if you can’t make it on the day.


February 24
Energy Security NSW

AEMC Commissioner & Reliability Panel Chair Rainer Korte will keynote this CEDA event in Sydney also featuring ASL CEO Nevenka Codevelle, Neoen Australia Head of Development Nathan Ling, Transgrid EGM of Network Jason Krstanoski and Australian Gas InfrastructureGroup EGM Customer & Strategy Cathryn McArthur.


February 26
Energy Security Queensland

AEMC Commissioner Rainer Korte will keynote this CEDA event in Brisbane, also featuring Energy Queensland EGM Regulation, Risk and Strategy Benn Barr; Powerlink EGM, Operations Stewart Bell; APA Group Operations Executive Petrea Bradford; and CleanCo Queensland EGM Asset Operations Rimu Nelson.


February 27
National Energy Transition Research Summit

Climate Change Authority CEO Kath Rowley will speak at this ACOLA event in Canberra, alongside Net Zero Economy Authority CEO David Shankey and Australia’s Chief Scientist Tony Haymet.


March 3
Clean Energy Investor Group Conference

Victorian Energy Minister Lily D’Ambrosio will headline this Melbourne event also featuring ENGIE Australia Managing Director of Renewables and Batteries Laura Caspari, SEC Vic CEO Chris Miller, Queensland Renewable Energy Council CEO Katie-Anne Mulder, VicGrid CEO Alistair Parker, and Squadron Energy CEO Rob Wheals.


March 4-5
Energy Consumers Australia Foresighting Forum

Luis Gonzalez, Chief Data and AI Officer at Aboitz Power, Robert Gross, Director of the UK Energy Research Centre, and Harriet Thomson, Associate Director at the Glasgow Centre for Sustainable Energy will keynote this Sydney event. Industry speakers include EnergyAustralia CEO Mark Collette, Essential Energy CEO John Cleland, and Tim Jarratt, Group Executive, Market Development & Strategy, Ausgrid.

The Energy

The Energy is dedicated to covering the business of energy and in particular the people, capital, projects and emerging technology behind the energy transition.

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