New structure for AEMO?


Hey Reader, in today's edition:

  • Scrutiny for AEMO
  • ESEM questioned for wind projects
  • The 'age of electricity'

AEMO review welcomed

A move by state and federal energy ministers to review and potentially overhaul the Australian Energy Market Operator has been lauded as well-timed and overdue, as energy market dynamics reach unprecedented complexity.

Up for scrutiny are AEMO’s corporate legal structure, which legislation should govern it, possible new ownership models that might reduce "perceived" conflicts of interest between market operation and network planning functions, and how board appointments are made, according to the terms of reference.

Expert view

“The inclusion of what laws should govern AEMO is the most striking part of the terms of reference, because they mention so many different options — the Corporations Act, a federal public accountability law, or a potential state statutory agency.

The choice of AEMO’s governing laws will dictate who AEMO is responsible to and could open up different options of ownership, which could include separating ASL from the market operating functions.

AEMO has this governance structure that was set up in the nineties, and we've got a system that's completely different...and we've also got different public expectations.”

Alison Reeve
Program Director, Energy & Climate Program, Grattan Institute

Investors warn ESEM might not be the answer for wind projects

When Victorian Energy Minister Lily D’Ambrosio announced the revised timeline for the state’s delayed offshore wind auction, she notably made mention of the proposed Electricity Services Entry Mechanism (ESEM) put forward by Nelson review.

As the official ESEM contract co-design working group is formed this month, Clean Energy Investor Group CEO Richie Merzian says the mechanism could add cost and complexity to wind projects, making contract design key to continue facilitating the procurement of offshore wind.

The 'age of electricity' has arrived: IEA

Growth in electrification of previously coal- and gas-dependent industrial customers will increase electricity demand by at least 2.5 times by 2030, the International Energy Agency (IEA) has projected in its 2026 Electricity report, noting the “age of electricity” has arrived.

The IEA forecasts global power demand to grow by more than 3.5% annually until the end of the decade. Emerging and developing economies account for most of the growth – with demand patterns shifting as China’s consumption settles at around 4.9% pa but India surges to 6.4% growth.

Advanced economies are seeing demand surge with the explosion of data centres, even as record deployment of solar PV systems positions renewables to pass global coal generation by 2030.

Catch Up

Capital

A 2024 overhaul of the Future Fund’s investment mandate, which required it to prioritise supporting the energy transition, has paid off for the federal government after Treasurer Jim Chalmers announced that the fund’s returns reached 12.4% during 2025 — up from 8.0% in 2023, before the new mandate was introduced. This growth in Australia’s sovereign wealth fund also helped the Fund record a 10-year return of 8.5%, which is well above its target return of 7.0%. The Future Fund’s investments are supporting projects including Tilt Renewables’ 1.8GW of operational and late-stage renewables projects, and a 400MW development pipeline at data centre operator CDC.

Private markets have raised $2.7 trillion for funds investing in energy over the past decade, according to BloombergNEF, with lean energy focused funds drawing in about $178 billion since 2021 — triple the sum of thematic fossil and broad energy funds combined. (BloombergNEF)

Global private equity firm KKR is injecting $603 million into asset manager HMC's Energy Transition Platform, marking its second climate-related investment in Australia. The commitment will last seven years and is hoped to generate a 14% pa return. The next tranche of $248 million will fund 90% of the equity component of construction costs of the platform's first BESS development project. (FS Sustainability)


Projects

The NSW government declared two proposed pumped hydro projects “critical” for the state’s energy supplies, advising that the two projects could generate enough energy to power 1.1 million homes and that a “comprehensive assessment” will be taken for both projects before next steps are taken. The two projects include ZEN Energy’s $3.5 billion Western Sydney Pumped Hydro Project at Lake Burragorang and ACEN Australia’s $3.6 billion Yarrabin (Phoenix) Pumped Hydro Project near Mudgee. The state government is currently assessing over 50 renewable energy, storage and transmission projects promising an additional 13.5GW of capacity with 196 more projects further back in the pipeline.

Victoria exceeded its 2025 renewable energy target of 40%, state Minister for Energy and Resources Lily D’Ambrosio announced, with renewables delivering 44.6% of the state’s electricity generation in a trend that she said puts the state on track to reach 65% renewables by 2030 and 95% by 2035. Nearly 100 large-scale projects are now operational across the state, she said, including 54 solar farms — which combined with rooftop solar supplied 16% of the state’s electricity last year — and wind farms that are generating around 24% of the state’s power. This surge in overall capacity had kept wholesale power prices the lowest in the country, D’Ambrosio said, with Victorian prices of $78/MWh well below $103/MWh in NSW, $96 in Tasmania, $87 in SA and $85 in Queensland.

The WA Government will provide $2.7 million to support surveys, approval works, and technical work over 12 months as planning for the Ngarluma Green Energy Park (NGEP), to be located on NAC’s Native Title determination near Karratha, ramps up. Located near Pilbara industry titans including Rio Tinto Iron ORe, Dampier Salt, Woodside, Yara and Perdaman, the NGEP is envisioned to see a 50MW solar farm live as soon as 2027 — paving the way for what Ngarluma Aboriginal Corporation (NAC) believes will ultimately be 5GW of renewable energy development. (National Indigenous Times)

Spanish renewables firm Iberdrola has officially opened its 65MW battery energy storage system (BESS) in Smithfield, NSW and has been given a Long-Term Energy Service Agreement (LTESA) to build a bigger 100MW Kingswood battery that will ultimately reach 1080MWh of storage — enough to power 65,000 homes at peak demand times for at least eight hours. Iberdrola expects to invest over $1.6 billion in Australia through 2028, citing the appeal of the market’s “stability and predictability”.


Policy

Victorian Planning Minister Sonya Kilkenny has tapped ministerial powers to speed up approvals for 25 renewable energy projects, worth over $9 billion, since 2024, The Age reported. The powers were granted under the state’s pandemic-era Development Facilitation Program, which offered a faster approvals pathway that sped resolution of objections and targeted approvals within four months. The fast-tracked projects promise enough generation capacity to power 736,190 homes and BESS capacity sufficient to power 2.08 million homes during the evening peak. (The Age)

As state and federal energy ministers are weighing whether to hand extraordinary new powers to the Australian Energy Market Operator to avoid gas supply shortfalls set to hit southern states from 2028, gas pipeline operators want the proposal axed, saying it would underwrite gas infrastructure with taxpayer money and add to several government market fixes that undermine investment confidence. (The Aus)


Regulation

A draft Australian Energy Market Commission (AEMC) proposal to introduce fixed network tariffs would “significantly undermine the economics of household solar and battery systems,” the Smart Energy Council said, arguing “regressive” fixed tariffs would remove consumers’ ability to reduce bills through efficiency, demand shifting, or investing in clean energy technologies. The AEMC proposal “is not supported by published bill modelling or real-world evidence,” the group said, citing Green Energy Markets analysis showing the new models would increase electricity bills by $400 to $680 per year.

The Australian Energy Regulator (AER) approved capital expenditure of $3.47 billion for the construction costs of Stage 1 of Marinus Link, which will deliver a 750MW cable between Victoria and Tasmania. It also approved $921.3 million for associated transmission upgrades to land transmission in north-west Tasmania (NWTD). The costs for Marinus will be recovered from Tasmanian and Victorian electricity consumers once Marinus Link is complete, currently expected in 2030.

An “overwhelming regulatory burden” — in which major renewable projects require up to 40 separate licenses — is “paralysing” development of major infrastructure, mining, housing and renewable energy projects, the Australian Chamber of Commerce and Industry (ACCI) warned. In a new white paper entitled Path to Prosperity, it says rising regulation has added an estimated $5.5 billion in compliance costs over the past five years, with ACCI CEO Andrew McKellar warning that regulation had “become a handbrake on Australia’s productivity and competitiveness.”


Technology

The increasing energy footprint of Big Tech firms’ AI globalland grab has pushed them to promote nuclear power, with existing plants to be expanded and smaller reactors being considered as the technology develops. Meta recently signed a deal to expand three nuclear plants and reopen an abandoned fourth facility in the US, while Microsoft wants to open the ill-fated Three Mile Island reactor as Amazon and Google follow suit. US President Donald Trump this week exempted new reactors from environmental review — but will it work? Experts are still on the fence. (PCMag)


Research

The Queensland Government is shaping its Science and Innovation Strategy, and is inviting public comment on a new discussion paper outlining the opportunities and challenges of the state’s science and innovation landscape. The white paper, entitled Ideas Into Impact, is framed in the “once-in-a-generation opportunity” of the upcoming 2032 Brisbane Olympics and highlights the expertise of the state’s 300-plus research institutions in areas such as critical minerals, advanced technologies, mining and biofuels. Submissions are open until March 31.

What's On

February 8-11
World Renewable Energy Congress

Zenith Energy Executive ESG & Stakeholder Engagement Dominic Da Cruz, Pollination Managing Director Rob Grant, Western Australian Program Director for The Superpower Institute Jessica Shaw and European Renewable Energies Federation Vice-President Rainer Hinrichs-Rahlwes will speak at this Perth event also featuring researchers from around the world.


February 11
AEMO Quarterly Energy Dynamics

AEMO Manager - Market Dynamics Kerry Galloway will speak at this webinar on the outcomes of the last quarter of 2025.


February 11
Delivering on the Queensland Energy Roadmap

CS Energy CEO Brian Gillespie will deliver the keynote at this Queensland Energy Club event in Brisbane.


February 17
Briefing: Innovative housing solutions alongside the renewable energy roll-out

Bart Sykes, Regional Economic Development Manager at Squadron Energy; Vincent Dwyer, Co-Founder and CEO at Energy Estate; and Jess Adler, Corporate & Business Services Manager at WImmera Southern Mallee Development will speak at this RE-Alliance webinar.


February 19
Running a Digital Grid: The Next Challenge in the Energy Transition

Dani Alexander, CEO of the UNSW Energy Institute will moderate this webinar from The Energy, also featuring Emma Fagan, General Manager for Policy and Regulatory Affairs with Akaysha Energy; and Antti Harjula, Technical Director of Power System Performance and Connections with Powerlink Queensland. Register here to attend, or to view the recording later if you can’t make it on the day.


February 24
Energy Security NSW

AEMC Commissioner & Reliability Panel Chair Rainer Korte will keynote this CEDA event in Sydney also featuring ASL CEO Nevenka Codevelle, Neoen Australia Head of Development Nathan Ling, Transgrid EGM of Network Jason Krstanoski and Australian Gas InfrastructureGroup EGM Customer & Strategy Cathryn McArthur.


February 26
Energy Security Queensland

AEMC Commissioner Rainer Korte will keynote this CEDA event in Brisbane, also featuring Energy Queensland EGM Regulation, Risk and Strategy Benn Barr; Powerlink EGM, Operations Stewart Bell; APA Group Operations Executive Petrea Bradford; and CleanCo Queensland EGM Asset Operations Rimu Nelson.


February 27
National Energy Transition Research Summit

Climate Change Authority CEO Kath Rowley will speak at this ACOLA event in Canberra, alongside Net Zero Economy Authority CEO David Shankey and Australia’s Chief Scientist Tony Haymet.


March 3
Clean Energy Investor Group Conference

Victorian Energy Minister Lily D’Ambrosio will headline this Melbourne event also featuring ENGIE Australia Managing Director of Renewables and Batteries Laura Caspari, SEC Vic CEO Chris Miller, Queensland Renewable Energy Council CEO Katie-Anne Mulder, VicGrid CEO Alistair Parker, and Squadron Energy CEO Rob Wheals.


March 4-5
Energy Consumers Australia Foresighting Forum

Luis Gonzalez, Chief Data and AI Officer at Aboitz Power, Robert Gross, Director of the UK Energy Research Centre, and Harriet Thomson, Associate Director at the Glasgow Centre for Sustainable Energy will keynote this Sydney event. Industry speakers include EnergyAustralia CEO Mark Collette, Essential Energy CEO John Cleland, and Tim Jarratt, Group Executive, Market Development & Strategy, Ausgrid.

The Energy

The Energy is dedicated to covering the business of energy and in particular the people, capital, projects and emerging technology behind the energy transition.

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