Networks driving inflation


Hey Reader, in today's edition:

  • What's next for EV incentives?
  • Energy hits interest rates
  • AEMO to face review

EV tax review moves ahead

The government will be inundated with ideas on how to boost EV uptake when submissions to its Electric Car Discount Tax review closes later today. While the FBT exemption has been lauded for boosting demand, experts argue that more incentives are needed.

With many divided on whether a tax break for salary workers is equitable, the focus now shifts to enabling measures like how to boost bi-directional charging and rolling out charging infrastructure in remote locations.

How energy regulation and interest rates became intertwined

For several years, consultant and former NSW Treasury economist and financial analyst Simon Orme has been tracking the regulated profits of Australia's electricity and gas network owners, many of which are partially state or foreign-owned.

With Australia's central bank forced into a u-turn on interest rates on the back of rising inflation this week, Orme has taken a closer look at the relationship between energy bill relief, regulated network prices and inflation. The findings sound an alarm bell on the role of energy policy and regulation in driving up interest rates.

Expert view

“The likelihood of further major electricity price increases over 2026 contributed to the RBA’s February 2026 decision to increase interest rates for the first time since 2023.

Neither the regulator nor governments have so far made any attempt to tackle a substantial source of electricity price inflation in recent years. They are focusing on the competitive side of the electricity bill stack instead of flawed regulation of the largest single component in bills – the network monopoly cost.

This highlights failures in NEM governance due to the absence of parliamentary oversight of energy network regulation, and a resort to budget subsidies instead of ensuring monopoly regulation is effective.

The AER’s 2026 rate of return instrument review, and the Australian Energy Market Commission’s upcoming review of electricity network regulation, are opportunities to fix electricity and gas network regulation, and to limit future adverse impacts on the Australian economy.”

Simon Orme
Director, Tahu Consulting

Catch Up

Capital

Origin Energy confirmed it would not trigger the opt-in underwriting clause in the final year of its 2024 deal with the NSW government to keep the Eraring coal-fired power station running. The company has not yet detailed any arrangement made in the wake of last month’s announcement the plant would be extended for a further 20 months until April 2029. (The Australian)

Up to $321 million in funding is now available from the second round of the Powering the Regions Fund, a competitive grants program that helps industrial entities who are subject to the Safeguard Mechanism reduce their emissions using electrification, renewable energy and efficiency mechanisms. Applications for individual grants from the Safeaguard Transformation Stream (STS), which range from $500,000 to $50 million, are now open and will be assessed in three batches until 6 May 2027.

China’s support of clean-energy technologies was responsible for over a third of the country’s economic growth last year, a new analysis by the Centre for Research on Energy and Clean Air has found. Investment in solar power, EVs and other clean energy technologies accelerated the sector’s growth rate from 12% in 2024 to 18% last year, when it contributed $3 trillion (US$2.1 trillion), or 11.4% of China’s GDP – large enough that if it were a country, it would be the world’s eighth largest economy. (Carbon Brief)

After weeks of feverish speculation resources giant Rio Tinto has abandoned merger talks with rival Glencore with the two sides disagreeing over price and who would run the new business. (AFR)


Projects

Queensland’s new 250MW/500MWh Swanbank Battery is now live, operating at full capacity to support peak demand in the south-east of the state. The grid-scale Tesla battery, which is located next to the Swanbank E gas-fired power station, provides enough energy to power around 355,000 homes for 2 hours.

The 100MW Wallaroo solar farm and BESS facility in the northern ACT looks set to proceed after the NSW Land and Environment Court dismissed an appeal against the project lodged by local residents Ben Faulks and Johnny Roso, who argued that the large-scale deployment over 165.45 rural hectares would affect the region’s scenic quality. Commissioner Susan O’Neill said the development is in the public interest. (Region)

New Zealand’s government has strengthened its commitment to green hydrogen, committing AUD$17 million (NZD$19.9 million) to a new facility in South Taranaki, on the country’s North Island. It will supply renewable energy to run the Ballance Agri-Nutrients Kapuni facility, and green hydrogen to support emissions-free transport at Hiringa Energy’s refuelling operations. A series of appeals and administrative blocks have delayed the project for five years, but construction of the facility – whose total cost will be up to AUD$96 million (NZD$112.3 million) is now set to start this month.


Policy

Vanadium miners have welcomed a reduction on royalty rates for the metal, which is crucial to battery technology and will now see WA state royalties capped at 2.5% – and zero for the midstream production of vanadium electrolyte. News website Discovery Alert noted that the new rate puts WA below international benchmarks that are typically 3% to 8%.


Regulation

AEMO could face a major overhaul after the launch of a broad review of its role that will be led by former Treasury official and IMF executive Nigel Ray. The review, which will report before the upcoming Energy and Climate Ministerial Council meeting in May, could see increased government scrutiny of budgets and board appointments, and reallocation of key responsibilities. It was agreed at a meeting of state ministers in December, the AFR reports, amid fears the market operator isn’t keeping up with the energy transition’s rapid pace of change. (AFR)


Technology

Australia’s voracious appetite for renewable energy systems could leave it particularly exposed to future cyber security breaches, a security expert has warned in the wake of the Electrum threat group’s recent attack on Poland’s energy grid. Billed as the “first major cyber attack targeting distributed energy resources” in an analysis by operational technology (OT) security specialist Dragos, the firm’s principal adversary hunter warned that Australia’s rapidly increasing investment in renewable DERs was expanding the potential attack targets – particularly since the rapid pace of rollouts often sees OT specialists using standard configurations that can be exploited at scale by skilled cyber criminals. (Cyberdaily.au)


Climate

A 30,000 hectare plantation forestry initiative in the Northern Territory’s Tiwi Islands will receive up to $40 million in a joint funding initiative headlined by the CEFC and investment firm River Capital. The $81 million First Nations-led project, which is owned by the Tiwi Plantations Corporation and managed by carbon management investment company Midway, is owned, operated and governed by all eight Tiwi clans. Expected to expand Australia’s total plantation area by around 2%, the project will plant native species on a long-rotation program that will generate high-integrity Australian Carbon Credit Units (ACCUs) and timber.


Research

Dubbo Regional Council (DRC) will join the University of NSW and TRaCE (Trailblazer for Recycling and Clean Energy) to trial a hybrid energy management system that will explore the interaction of rooftop solar, battery storage, EV chargers and grid power. The research will evaluate the systems’ ability to deliver dynamic energy management across council buildings through load monitoring and battery operation, for example allowing power draw to be adjusted when building occupancy and operating hours change. The system installed at DRC is the first full-scale implementation of the technology.


People

Lucy Burke has accepted a new role with Squadron Energy, where she will be working as senior manager - portfolio origination. She worked in gas production at Santos Ltd for 8 years before completing a Master of Sustainable Energy, after which she pivoted to a market role at Energetics and then ATCO Australia, where she managed hydrogen and clean fuels development.

Amongst a shake-up of positions at investment firm Future Group, Joe Fernandes joins as chief investment officer after five years at Australian Unity, where he most recently served as group chief investment officer.


Workforce

The Business Council of Australia (BCA) has pushed back against the NSW government’s proposed “spy bill”, a legislative package that would give unions digital access to monitor company emails, personal information, HR and payroll systems, rostering tools, customer databases, financial records and operational information. The legislation was proposed last August but looks set to be adopted by NSW Parliament within days. Energy and resource projects, where “complex digital systems are central to operations”, would be particularly exposed, the BCA said.

What's On

February 8-11
World Renewable Energy Congress

Zenith Energy Executive ESG & Stakeholder Engagement Dominic Da Cruz, Pollination Managing Director Rob Grant, Western Australian Program Director for The Superpower Institute Jessica Shaw and European Renewable Energies Federation Vice-President Rainer Hinrichs-Rahlwes will speak at this Perth event also featuring researchers from around the world.


February 11
AEMO Quarterly Energy Dynamics

AEMO Manager - Market Dynamics Kerry Galloway will speak at this webinar on the outcomes of the last quarter of 2025.


February 11
Delivering on the Queensland Energy Roadmap

CS Energy CEO Brian Gillespie will deliver the keynote at this Queensland Energy Club event in Brisbane.


February 17
Briefing: Innovative housing solutions alongside the renewable energy roll-out

Bart Sykes, Regional Economic Development Manager at Squadron Energy; Vincent Dwyer, Co-Founder and CEO at Energy Estate; and Jess Adler, Corporate & Business Services Manager at WImmera Southern Mallee Development will speak at this RE-Alliance webinar.


February 19
Running a Digital Grid: The Next Challenge in the Energy Transition

Dani Alexander, CEO of the UNSW Energy Institute will moderate this webinar from The Energy, also featuring Emma Fagan, General Manager for Policy and Regulatory Affairs with Akaysha Energy; and Antti Harjula, Technical Director of Power System Performance and Connections with Powerlink Queensland. Register here to attend, or to view the recording later if you can’t make it on the day.


February 24
Energy Security NSW

AEMC Commissioner & Reliability Panel Chair Rainer Korte will keynote this CEDA event in Sydney also featuring ASL CEO Nevenka Codevelle, Neoen Australia Head of Development Nathan Ling, Transgrid EGM of Network Jason Krstanoski and Australian Gas InfrastructureGroup EGM Customer & Strategy Cathryn McArthur.


February 26
Energy Security Queensland

AEMC Commissioner Rainer Korte will keynote this CEDA event in Brisbane, also featuring Energy Queensland EGM Regulation, Risk and Strategy Benn Barr; Powerlink EGM, Operations Stewart Bell; APA Group Operations Executive Petrea Bradford; and CleanCo Queensland EGM Asset Operations Rimu Nelson.


February 27
National Energy Transition Research Summit

Climate Change Authority CEO Kath Rowley will speak at this ACOLA event in Canberra, alongside Net Zero Economy Authority CEO David Shankey and Australia’s Chief Scientist Tony Haymet.

The Energy

The Energy is dedicated to covering the business of energy and in particular the people, capital, projects and emerging technology behind the energy transition.

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