Project Marinus: one for the price of two


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In today's edition:

  • Project Marinus capex nears one for the price of two
  • EnergyAustralia says carbon offsets 'could have been made clearer'
  • Vic transmission plan cautiously welcomed

One for the price of two 'prudent and efficient'

Project Marinus to link the “battery of the nation” to the mainland, envisioned almost a decade ago as a two-cable system costing $3 billion, is inching closer to one cable for the initial price of two.

The forecast capital expenditure of $1.6 billion for almost half of the works required to construct one cable has been accepted by the Australian Energy Regulator (AER) in an initial draft decision that is now open for consultation.

Marinus Link Pty Ltd welcomed the assessment of forecast cable and converter expenditure as prudent and efficient and said it would submit a revised Revenue Proposal in July, which will address the remainder of forecast capital expenditure relating to a Balance of Works civil construction tender, risk allowance and support activities.

The costs of the project - jointly owned by the federal (49%), Tasmanian (17.7%) and Victorian (33.3%) governments - will be recovered through transmission charges levied on Victorian and Tasmanian electricity customers.

Marinus Link was expected to provide $3.9 billion in economic stimulus for Tasmania and Victoria, according to EY research commissioned in 2023 by the proponent. At that point, construction for Stage 1 was expected to begin in 2025 and take around five years.

AER will hold an online predetermination forum on May 27 to explain the initial draft decision.

EnergyAustralia apologises over carbon offsets

EnergyAustralia apologised in a statement on the settlement of a Federal Court case alleging 400,000 customers were misled about “Go Neutral” products.

The case, brought by advocacy group Parents for Climate, was a first in Australia against a company for carbon neutral marketing and the first time an Australian energy retailer faced legal action for alleged greenwashing.

In its statement, the gentailer said: "EnergyAustralia acknowledges that carbon offsetting is not the most effective way to assist customers to reduce their emissions and apologises to any customer who felt that the way it marketed its Go Neutral products was unclear."

It also name checked Climate Active.

“In recent years, questions have begun to emerge about the benefits of carbon offsets, including those offered as part of certified government programs such as Climate Active and whether they are having the impact intended.
While EnergyAustralia participated in the Climate Active certified carbon offset program in good faith, today EnergyAustralia accepts that there is legitimate public concern about the efficacy of these programs.
Carbon offsets should not be used to delay or diminish the important work that needs to be done to actively decarbonise. EnergyAustralia is now focused on more effective ways of helping its customers to directly reduce the emissions associated with their energy use. — EnergyAustralia Chief Customer Officer Kate Gibson

EnergyAustralia offered “Go Neutral Electricity” and “Go Neutral Gas” products whereby carbon credits offset the emissions associated with the energy supply. But paying someone else an “avoidance” credit was not equivalent to removing the emissions generated to supply the electricity and gas, Parents for Climate argued.

“Burning fossil fuels creates greenhouse gas emissions that are not prevented or undone by carbon offsets. This could have been made clearer to customers,” according to the joint statement.

EnergyAustralia buys gas and electricity from the open market (where the emissions are Scope 3 emissions), and in December said under "best practice guidance" high integrity offsets would be required to mitigate residual emissions associated with its ambition of achieving net zero for Scope 3 by 2050.

The Australia Institute has called for the Climate Active certification scheme to be referred to the ACCC and the National Audit Office for alleged conflicts of interest, administrative failures and compliance issues.

“Consumers, investors and community members have lost tolerance for industry and government putting the onus on individuals to tackle the climate crisis and expect more accountability by the private sector. — Australia Institute Executive Director Richard Denniss

Carbon credits remain a legislated mechanism for reducing greenhouse gas emissions, particularly the last slice of hard-to-abate industrial emissions.

EnergyAustralia said its future focus was “firmly on direct decarbonisation initiatives” for customers, including a bring-your-own-battery virtual power plant, rooftop solar and battery installation, and a community battery program covering 13 NSW postcodes.

It withdrew its “Go Neutral” products for new customers in November.

Vic transmission plan cautiously welcomed

Victoria mapped out a plan to exit coal and plug in offshore wind, with seven renewable energy zones (REZs) and four new transmission lines.

The zones covering around 7% of the state are designed to coordinate the onshore infrastructure needed to support new renewable energy projects and connect offshore wind to the grid.

The plan comes as Victoria prepares for the closure of EnergyAustralia’s ageing Yallourn coal fired power plant in 2028 and the 2035 closure of AGL’s Loy Yang A.

Expert view

"Victorians deserve clean, cheap energy – and renewable developers are lining up to build it. There is over 16GW pipeline of proposed onshore wind and solar projects, as well as 5 GW of proposed battery projects – and that’s not even including the various offshore wind development projects that have received feasibility licences.

“But none of it will happen without an overarching plan and clear planning approval processes for transmission and renewable projects from the Victorian Government. These will be crucial to ensuring reliability after the closure of Yallourn coal fire power station.

“Victoria has seen ongoing transmission delays and associated cost increases – including from VNI West, which has seen a 23% cost increase in recent years. This is now not expected to be delivered before 2031, well after Yallourn closes.

Stephanie Bashir
Principal, Nexa Advisory

Andrew Bray, National Director RE-Alliance warned the plan needed to be well communicated so various communities understood how the rollout would work in places they live.

The deadline for feedback on the draft plan is June 24, with the final plan expected to be released late 2025. VicGrid is holding a webinar for industry on May 27.

Catch up

Capital

Offshore wind leader Andy Evans says the prospect of an extended period of Labor government could make the clean energy rollout practically inevitable. But others are more “circumspect”. Even so, the general sense of positivity of the sector is a far cry from the outlook it faced just six months ago. (AFR)

“I’ve staked most of my life and capital on the clean energy space.
The election result was probably the best bit of news for renewables in the 20 years I’ve been working in it.” — Star of the South founder and CEO of Oceanex and NewVolt Andy Evans

Elsewhere, the UK’s National Grid (LSE: NG) has taken a US$402 million hit on the paused New York offshore wind project. (Reuters)


Projects

AGL Energy (ASX: AGL) installed modules at Canally Solar Farm, Australia’s first utility-scale solar project to use Heterojunction (HJT) technology. Supplier Risen Energy (SZSE:300118), the world's largest producer of HJT modules, said the use of the technology was expected to set new standards in the industry and foster wider adoption across other regions. Combined with a 5MWh battery system, the project will cut the Canally Almond Orchard's diesel consumption by 85%

"The completion of module installation at Canally Solar Farm marks a key milestone in AGL's commitment to investing in innovative and sustainable energy solutions.
Partnering with Risen Energy and integrating HJT technology into this project allows us to push the boundaries of performance and efficiency, while delivering meaningful environmental benefits for our customer operations and the broader community. We're excited about the role Canally will play in shaping the future of renewable energy in Australia." — AGL Head of Sustainable Business Energy Solutions Brendan Weinert

Policy

Australia has competition in the race for capital and clean energy superpower status after the landmark Great British Energy Bill passed parliament in a “national sprint for homegrown clean energy”. Backed by £8.3 billion, a publicly-owned company will fast track strategic energy projects and invest alongside the private sector to get new technologies like floating offshore wind up and running as part of the government’s modern Industrial Strategy.

The UK will soon outline which technologies the government expects Great British Energy to focus on and how it should consider the public benefits from investment decisions.

“Great British Energy comes from a simple idea: British people should own and benefit from our own natural resources. We are giving people a stake in clean energy and delivering profits for the British people. As part of our Plan for Change, this will make us a clean energy superpower and help bring down energy bills for good.” — UK Energy Secretary Ed Miliband

Which energy sector occupations could benefit from a national licensing scheme? Tell the Productivity Commission analysis of competition policy by June 6.

A federal environmental protection agency is a “very high and immediate” priority for the Albanese Labor government - again. But it will likely lose the “nature positive” wrapping, Environment Minister Murray Watt will tell resources companies this week in WA. (Sky) (Guardian)

“Our environment laws aren’t working for our environment, business or community.” — Environment Minister Murray Watt

Beijing’s aggressive pursuit of energy self-sufficiency could give it the upper hand in the trade war with the US. (AFR)


Regulation

Triggered by last week’s AER decision on “accelerated depreciation” for Jemena Gas Networks, consumer group the Justice and Equity Centre lodged a rule change request with the AEMC with the aim of ensuring customers would only pay for the minimum works necessary to make safe the permanent disconnection of gas, and not additional works that they don’t request or require.


Technology

Rewiring Aotearoa, an NGO focused on speeding up New Zealand’s transition to an electric economy, identified more than 10 million fossil fuel-powered machines in a nationwide inventory. Almost all of them are technically feasible to electrify now.

Climate

Environmental theologian Erin Lothes revealed clues about how the new pope, at least as pro-renewables as the last one, may respond to the climate crisis. (Living on Earth)


People

Former Tilt Renewables CFO and interim CEO Steve Symons was appointed Vice President at OX2 Australia.


Research

Lauri Myllyvirta, lead analyst at the Centre for Research on Energy and Clean Air and senior fellow at Asia Society Policy Institute, has taken a look at the growth in China’s clean energy generation, which caused carbon emissions to fall despite rapid power demand growth. With emissions in reverse for the first time, sector-by-sector analysis suggests that in addition to the power sector emissions have likely peaked in the building materials and steel sectors, as well as in oil products consumption. (Carbon Brief)


Random

Richard Garwin, who died recently at the age of 97, was sometimes called “the most influential scientist you’ve never heard of”, writes Harvard Kennedy School’s Professor Matthew Bunn. (The Conversation)

What's on

May 16
AEMO consultation - cyber security

Submissions on the draft report on whether AEMO’s cyber security roles and responsibilities should be a declared NEM project are due.


May 21-22
Australian Renewable Energy Zones conference

​Australian Energy Infrastructure Commissioner Tony Mahar will speak along with EnergyCo CEO Hannah McCaughey and NSW Energy and Water Ombudsman Janine Young at this Sydney event.


May 21-22
Hunter New Energy Symposium

Raymond Hohle, Executive Manager Projects and Assets - Port of Newcastle, Heidi Lee, CEO - Beyond Zero Emissions and Tim Buckley, Director - Climate Energy Finance (CEF) will keynote at this Newcastle event.


May 26
Labor's landslide: What's next for energy and climate policy in Australia?

Simon Corbell, advisory board Chair, The Energy will moderate this webinar featuring Climate Change Authority Chair Matt Kean, DER strategy specialist Gabrielle Kuiper, Windlab CEO John Martin, and DPG Advisory Solutions Director Climate and ESG Ben Oquist.


May 26
Superpower Institute report launch

Professor Ross Garnaut, Professor Rod Sims, and Policy Lead Dr Ingrid Burfurd will launch a research report, A Green Iron Plan for Australia: Securing Prosperity in a Decarbonising World, at Old Parliament House in Canberra.


May 27
AER online forum for Project Marinus

The Australian Energy Regulator will host an online public forum to discuss its initial draft decision on Marinus Link's proposal.


May 28
National Press Club

Professor Brian P. Schmidt and Professor Richard Holden will address the National Press Club in Canberra on Securing Australia’s Sovereign Research Capability.


May 28-29
H2 2 ZERO Summit 2025

New Zealand’s Energy Minister Simon Watts, Japan’s Ambassador to NZ Makoto Osawa, and Rocket Lab Founder Sir Peter Beck are among diplomats, business leaders and researchers speaking at this event in Wellington.


June 3
Australian Offshore Wind Industry Forum

Victorian Energy Minister, Lily D'Ambrosio and CEC Chief Executive Kane Thornton are headlining this Clean Energy Council event in Melbourne.


June 6
National Competition Policy analysis 2025

The Productivity Commission’s call for submissions has a June 6 deadline for an occupational licensing scheme that provides for labour mobility nationally and other competition reform options identified as a priority during the policy study.


June 11
Australia Energy Regulator stakeholder forum

An online forum will be held with electricity and gas retailers and other stakeholders to discuss the findings of the Review of payment difficulty protections in the National Energy Customer Framework.

The Energy

The Energy is dedicated to covering the business of energy and in particular the people, capital, projects and emerging technology behind the energy transition.

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