All about the flex


Hey Reader, in today's edition:

  • Making flexible demand work
  • COP31: Are we there yet?
  • Test bed for Ultra Low-Cost Solar

Energy policy is so much more than supply

Flexible demand is now widely agreed to be a priority for helping smooth the energy transition from fossil fuels to renewables, but it needs the right policies, regulations and programs to make it mainstream, experts warn.

Existing schemes established specifically for flexible demand are small-scale and do not create the predictable revenue streams required for most businesses to invest and commit to flexible demand initiatives, according to Chris Briggs and David Roche from the Institute for Sustainable Futures at UTS.

Australia also lacks interoperability between devices such as hot water systems, solar panels and batteries. Common technical standards are required so devices can talk to each other and be ‘orchestrated’ through responses to price signals and grid commands.

Solar Sharer highlights the bill-saving opportunities for customers who can be flexible with their electricity demand. But what is flexible demand and how can we increase it?

Expert view

“Flexible demand can better use surplus solar generation. It can also avoid costly upgrades to poles and wires to meet demand peaks by consuming electricity when there is spare network capacity. Times of high renewable energy in our grids are also when wholesale electricity prices are at their lowest. So happily, flexing demand can both save customers money while reducing their greenhouse gas emissions and overall system costs.

While there is no single comprehensive study that estimates all the benefits of flexible demand, each of the major studies has found large savings. For example, a study commissioned by the Australian Renewable Energy Agency (ARENA) estimated cost savings ranged from $3 billion up to $18 billion – the benefits get larger as the share of variable renewable energy increases.”

Chris Briggs
Program Lead for the Energy Futures group at the Institute for Sustainable Futures, UTS

COP31: Are we there yet?

Australia hasn’t given up on hosting the next climate negotiations with the Pacific, but it’s going down to the wire.

“There are three potential outcomes. Turkey has a bid in to host the COP, we have a bid to host in partnership with the Pacific. But every country has the right of veto, effectively, at COP. So, if that occurs, if one country decides to exercise that, then the COP will be held in Bonn, which is the home of the UNFCCC,” Prime Minister Anthony Albanese told reporters in Canberra.

“Now, they’re rules that are understood by every country. We continue to put forward our case,” he said.

Palau's President Surangel Whipps Jr, who is in Belém, said it was important for Australia to be successful in its bid and invited US President Donald Trump, who claims the climate crisis is "the greatest con job ever perpetrated on the world", to come to the Pacific and visit Tuvalu, Kiribati and the Marshall Islands. (RNZ)

“We're here in Brazil and the Amazon, and the focus next year needs to be a 'Blue COP', we need to focus on the oceans.
One of the things I always tell people is, in some countries they only face droughts, or they may face a storm but in the Pacific we suffer from all of them; sea-level rise, storms, droughts, extreme heat.”
Surangel Whipps Jr
Palau's President

Test bed for Ultra Low-Cost Solar

A hub in the Pilbara will serve as a 500MW test bed for emerging technology within heavy emitter Fortescue Group’s (ASX: FMG) planned 1.5GW solar PV development pipeline.

The Australian Renewable Energy Agency (ARENA) announced an allocation of up to $45 million for the iron ore miner’s Solar Innovation Hub for 10 projects to further reduce the cost of electricity in line with ARENA’s Ultra Low-Cost Solar (ULCS) goal of 30% module efficiency at an installed cost of 30 cents per watt by 2030.

If delivered, Australia could reach a levelised cost of electricity of <$20 per megawatt hour, which represents approximately one third of the cost of today’s solar PV.

“Solar PV deployment is evolving as we find new ways to reduce costs, streamline logistics and adapt to challenging environmental conditions. These advances are helping to lower the levelised cost of energy and improve commercial viability for the heavy industrial and hard to abate sectors.
"This project also represents a new way for ARENA to provide funding, maximising our impact and fostering collaboration between Australia’s energy innovators. By creating a space where cutting-edge technologies can be tested and refined in real-world environments, we’re helping to deliver significant cost reductions as quickly as possible for the benefit of both industry and the climate.”
Darren Miller
ARENA CEO

The first demonstration project, with US firm Built Robotics, has successfully trialled its automated pile-driving technology at the Cloudbreak Solar Farm and the second, with Sydney-headquartered solar tech leader 5B, will test the performance of its rapid-deployment Maverick system in a remote, high-temperature setting from early 2026.

Catch Up

Capital

As Australia hosts 13 US clean tech manufacturing companies, it has released an Investment Blueprint that emphasises Australia’s position as an attractive and stable investment destination. “Australia has long-established partnerships with the US, and both our nations can benefit from working together to establish clean tech ecosystems,” said Minister for Industry and Innovation and Minister for Science Tim Ayres.

AGL (ASX: AGL) will use $750 million from divesting its Tilt Renewables stake, which was sold to existing investors led by QIC and the Future Fund, as capital for more spending on flexible, dispatchable capacity. Tilt continues to provide 1.6GW of renewable generation capacity under long-term agreements with AGL, including recent commitments to Palmer and Waddi Wind Farms. “Our strategic partnership with Tilt Renewables, QIC and Future Fund will advance both Tilt’s expanding asset portfolio and AGL’s decarbonisation goals as we work towards our ambition of delivering 6GW of new firming and renewable projects by FY30,” CEO Damien Nicks said.


Projects

The $1 billion Waratah super battery suffered a “catastrophic failure” of one of its three transformers last month. The battery is a key part of NSW’s transition away from fossil fuels, and was due to be fully operational by late this year. The state government designated the project as critical infrastructure in 2022, saying it was “the most suitable solution that could be delivered in time to ensure the security of supply to Sydney, Wollongong and Newcastle” as coal generators close. (AFR)

Retailer Flow Power has unveiled plans for a 100MW/200MWh battery next to the Corowa substation in New South Wales. Flow Power says it hopes to have an environmental impact statement ready by the end of the year. (Renew Economy)


Policy

The government is considering an extension to the $75-a-quarter power bill relief, The Age is reporting. The subsidy was due to end with the calendar year but an extension would cost the budget up to $2 billion.

Few of the worst fears have come to pass for an economy already operating near full capacity, with extraordinary mineral resources, old and new, RBA Deputy Governor Andrew Hauser told the UBS Australasia Conference. Commodity prices and financial markets have generally held up and the feared impact of global policy uncertainty on consumer and business confidence has so far failed to materialise, he said. But the economy may find itself “boxed in” by its own capacity constraints, with little scope for demand growth to rise further without adding to inflationary pressures.

Uranium was reinstated as a critical mineral in the United States, along with copper and metallurgical coal, in the final version of the 2025 US Critical Minerals List, which unlocks federal support and speeds up approvals as the Trump administration creates sovereign supply chains to bolster energy and national security.


Technology

The International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO) for the first time authorised carbon capture and storage (CCS) and other engineered removal methodologies for use under its CORSIA offsetting scheme, with Verra and Gold Standard also receiving full approval for the next trading period. (Carbon Pulse)


Climate

It’s “very awkward” as COP31 rivals Australia and Türkiye share a prominent pavilion outside the main negotiating arena at the COP30 climate talks in Brazil, the ABC reported, with the stoush over who runs the next 12 months of work still unresolved. “It won't be lost therefore on attendees to this COP that that is still an outstanding task for this COP, and they will be really calling on Australia and Türkiye to, frankly, get it together and sort this out so that we can have a smooth transition from the current Brazilian presidency to the presidency of COP31,” ACF delegate Gavan McFadzean said.

Pacific leaders are taking a 100% renewable energy plan to COP30 in Belém. Fiji, Nauru, the Marshall Islands, Samoa, Tuvalu, and Vanuatu have all pledged to achieve 100% by 2030. Tonga and the Solomon Islands have set a target of 70% by 2030 and fully renewable generation by 2050. But all are somewhat short of those goals, and the Asian Development Bank (ADB) estimates the Pacific’s small island states spend more than US$1 billion annually on fossil fuels. (RNZ)

Natalie Unterstell, founder of climate think tank Talanoa, knows there are plenty of forces trying to slow the transition to zero emissions — populists, protectionists, fossil-fuel lobbies — but one of the biggest threats isn’t political, but physical. Adaptation can no longer be viewed as something to do after the transition, she writes. (Time)


People

Prime Minister Anthony Albanese announced the appointment of former Premier of South Australia Jay Weatherall as Australia’s next High Commissioner to the UK.

Former radio host Mark Parton has taken on leadership of the fractious ACT Liberals.

Formerly the Guardian political editor, and then Albo's media minder, Katharine Murphy has joined the office of Tim Ayres, NSW senator and the federal minister for science, industry and innovation.


Research

Current hydrogen supply from projects announced to date is insufficient to meet projected global demand by mid-century, according to European researchers. They say that by 2043, the world will be producing 110 million tonnes of low-carbon hydrogen a year, compared with demand of up to six times that. Their global analysis identifies steel-making, ammonia and biofuel production as the most promising hydrogen applications from a climate-benefit perspective, while road transport, power generation and domestic heating reduce carbon emissions the least. (Nature Energy)


Random

Marinus Link, a mega-project to connect the mainland with Tasmania's hydropower and wind, spruiked video imagery to win hearts and minds.

What's On

November 12
National Press Club

Japan’s Ambassador to Australia Kazuhiro Suzuki will address the National Press Club on "Girt by sea and in the same boat: 50 years of Japan-Australia relations and beyond” at this Canberra event.


November 13
Working towards net-zero agriculture

CSIRO’s Chief Scientist Unlocking Net Zero Michael Battaglia, CEFC Director Melanie Madders, NAB sustainability finance expert James Bentley and woolgrower Trent Young will speak at this online event.


November 13
Australian Electric Vehicle Association Annual Conference

Smart Energy Lab General Manager Glen Morris and zero-emissions vehicle expert Nathan Gore-Brown will speak at this Melbourne event.


November 18
National Press Club

FutureCoal (formerly known as the World Coal Association) CEO Michelle Manook will address the National Press Club on “the myths and future of coal” at this Canberra event


November 25
The NEM Review and Firming up the Transition

NEM Review Chair Tim Nelson, CEFC CEO Ian Learmonth, Transgrid CFO Nadine Lennie, and AEMO Executive GM Violette Mouchaileh will speak at this CEDA event in Sydney.


November 26
National Press Club

Deputy Opposition Leader and former energy spokesman Ted O’Brien will address the National Press Club at this event in Canberra.


December 9, Sydney and December 11, Melbourne
Energy Tetris

The Energy’s first live event will feature Quinbrook CEO Brian Restall, Energy Security Corporation CEO Paul Peters, Southerly Ten Chief Development Officer Erin Coldham, CS Energy Head of Policy & Regulation Alison Demaria, Atmos Renewables GM of Development Allison Hawke, ASL GM System Planning & Financial Markets, Melanie Koerner, UNSW Senior Research Associate Dylan McConnell and Energy Edge MD Josh Stabler, with more speakers to be confirmed soon.

The Energy

The Energy is dedicated to covering the business of energy and in particular the people, capital, projects and emerging technology behind the energy transition.

Read more from The Energy

Hey Reader, in today's edition: The climate hero COP needs COP31 hopes live on Real zero 'technically feasible' Can the ‘clean energy revolution’ save COP? Clean energy is the emerging hero of climate negotiations as the world’s petrostates, electrostates and those in-between fall short of their carbon reduction goals. “A clean energy revolution has taken hold. Solar and wind are now the cheapest sources of power – and the fastest growing sources of electricity in history. Last year, almost...

Hey Reader, welcome to The Energy Week, your chance to catch up on this week's most important energy news. Prefer to listen? Get The Energy Week on your favourite podcast platform. THE ENERGY WEEK • EPISODE 8 'A shot across the bow of retailers' 05:19 MORE INFO This week's top energy news A Melbourne Cup day announcement of free electricity during the solar peak became the front runner for energy surprise of the year as insiders warned of unintended consequences. Regulation A new regulated...

Hey Reader, in today's edition: China's dominance shocks Powering the Pilbara Shade on Solar Sharer Investing in the wake of China's dominance When climate tech venture capitalist Yair Reem went to China, what he saw shocked him and forced him to rethink his investment strategy. The strength of China's green tech industry is so strong that in some sectors, there's just no way for the West to compete. In sectors like batteries, it's game over. There's no point continuing to invest in Western...