AEMC defends pricing review


Hey Reader, in today's edition:

  • Backlash on higher fixed charges
  • Origin unfazed by softer prices
  • AI extending to ops systems

Rule maker defends pricing review amid fixed charges backlash

Ahead of today’s deadline for submissions to the Australian Energy Market Commission’s pricing review the rule maker has been forced to defend its proposal that a larger component of network charges be fixed.

The suggestion has alarmed both those looking out for people on lower incomes and people who have invested in rooftop solar and batteries.

The AEMC says any transition towards network tariffs with a different mix of fixed and variable charges would need to be carefully managed, with measures to ensure consumers aren't left worse off.

But experts warn the change could result in the wealthy being cross-subsidised by those with low incomes and low energy usage.

Experts from UNSW’s Collaboration on Energy and Environmental Markets have proposed a different model that would deliver more targeted price signals for particular technologies and to customers who can best respond to them.

Expert view

“It is unclear why the AEMC doesn’t take into consideration the various benefits provided by consumer energy resources in terms of reducing demand peaks and therefore the size of the network, which reduces the costs faced by all consumers – on both a short run marginal cost and long run marginal cost basis.

Historically, rooftop solar’s ability to reduce and delay summer peaks is well documented in Distribution Annual Planning Reports, and has contributed to many feeders now being winter peaking. Solar also provides significant benefits in terms of peak demand reduction at the wholesale market level.

If the focus really is on economic theory and benefits, not just financial transactions, then these benefits should also be taken into consideration by the AEMC.”

Rob Passey
Senior Research Fellow, UNSW

Origin Energy unfazed by softer LNG and electricity prices

Revenue from discharging batteries at times of peak demand is expected to become more important to Origin Energy’s earnings profile as demand for frequency control and ancillary services (FCAS) in the NEM wanes, Frank Calabria told analysts as results season continues.

The longtime Origin CEO evaded questions about capital investment plans beyond the Eraring battery which is being rolled out in stages, stating that the company was looking to see improvements in softer oil prices and ensure it could maintain its dividend before splashing out on new projects.

Catch Up

Projects

Australian Solar Enterprises submitted a proposed 400MW solar farm and a 2,000MWh Battery Energy Storage System (BESS) to federal government review, having made its way through local council approval in 2023. The project, at a 283ha site in the Tarong Queensland Renewable Energy Zone, Queensland, does not anticipate any threatened species will be affected by the proposed development.


Policy

Energy Minister Chris Bowen pushed back against suggestions the Labor government’s proposed gas reservation scheme risks chilling the investment appetite necessary to avert gas shortages. AGL Energy chief executive Damien Nicks is among those calling for clarity around questions such as whether proposed 15% to 25% requirements would apply to total output, uncontracted volumes or future production. (The Australian)

Victoria’s Legislative Council Economy and Infrastructure Committee will today hold its second day of hearings in its inquiry about how the state can best harmonise electric vehicles with electricity supply and demand. Thursday’s hearing included evidence from bodies including the Monash Energy Institute, RMIT University and the Australian Electric Vehicle Association; today’s hearing, which will be broadcast live online from 10am, will canvass opinions from a range of local councils including Port Phillip, Knox, City of Greater Bendigo, and more.


Regulation

The AEMC is publishing an updated high-level work program in which it will focus on areas including delivering improved consumer outcomes and enabling better consumer energy resources (CER) integration; clarifying the future roles of gas in the net zero transition; getting markets design right for secure and reliable changing energy systems; and updating network regulation to support improved consumer outcomes.

The WA government is soliciting feedback on a public comment draft of its Electricity Industry (Alternative Electricity Services) Regulations 2025, with a particular focus on extending protections to electricity customers by prescribing embedded networks and on-site power supply (OPS) services under the framework. Consultation is open until February 27.

A busy year of AEMC regulatory activity saw 25 rule changes across electricity, retail and gas sectors and a further 29 under consideration, Allens has noted in a research note wrapping up energy industry regulatory reform during 2025 and its implications for this year. Among the key issues to watch this year, the firm said, are finalisation of the implementation roadmap for the Market Settings Review; clarity around the role and regulation of gas as the transition progresses; potential stronger penalties for manipulation across markets; and the best approach to manage the surge in demand from new data centres.


Technology

The expansion of artificial intelligence into operational systems is accelerating quickly, according to Deloitte’s new State of AI in the Enterprise report, for which the company surveyed 3,235 director and C-suite respondents across 24 countries and 6 industries including energy, resources and industrials. Physical AI systems, which perceive the real world and drive physical actions through machines or control systems, are already in at least limited use within 58% of companies but 80% expect to be using them within two years. Asia Pacific companies are global leaders in its deployment, but persisting issues like data privacy, legal and regulatory compliance, governance capabilities and oversight continue to concern risk-minded executives.


Climate

President Donald Trump has rescinded a landmark determination that greenhouse gases pose a threat to human health and welfare. The 2009 'endangerment' determination served as the legal foundation for a variety of climate rules, including federal climate standards for cars and trucks, regulations that were also overturned. Environmental groups have already vowed to fight the changes in court. (Bloomberg) (WashPo) (Politico)

The federal government should actively promote adoption of environmental, social and governance (ESG) objectives within Australian businesses, CPA Australia has argued in a pre-Budget submission in which it said many businesses, especially SMEs, struggle to understand their reporting requirements around Group 3 climate statements. Professionals should be upskilled in climate-related disclosures and assurance, the professional body said while calling for greater clarity around the contribution that Australia’s business community is expected to make towards the national greenhouse gas emissions target.

China’s CO2 emissions have now been falling for 21 months, a new analysis has shown in noting that the “flat or falling” trend began in March 2024 and has now lasted almost two years. Emissions fell year-on-year in nearly all major sectors last year – including building materials (7%), transport (3%), and power (1.5%) – even as coal generation was cut by 1.9% as new projects boosted solar power output by 43%, (with up to 240GW more expected to be added this year), wind by 14% and nuclear by 8%. BESS capacity grew by 75GW, well ahead of the increase in peak demand of 55GW. (CarbonBrief)


Research

Protections against disconnecting the gas and electricity services of non-paying consumers could be strengthened in Australia without destabilising markets, RMIT University researchers have argued in publishing the results of a joint collaboration with peers in Spain, Ireland and France that highlighted a range of European safeguards that could help ensure continuous supply by supporting, rather than punishing, consumers. Some 23,000 Australian households had their electricity cut in 2023-24 for non-payment.

Exploding worldwide demand for batteries will require the creation of new battery technologies capable of providing higher power and energy density, a University of Sharjah research team has argued in a new study arguing that by 2031 battery manufacturing capacity “must expand dramatically”, to nearly 6,700GWh, to meet demand that includes a hundred-fold increase in demand for battery lithium. (Scimex)


People

Energy infrastructure company Jemena has restructured its Jemena Networks business, bringing in new leadership for the company’s Victorian electricity distribution network and NSW gas distribution network. The new appointees include Shaun Reardon - executive general manager, Electricity Networks and Nerise Cook - executive general manager, Gas Networks.

What's On

February 17
Briefing: Innovative housing solutions alongside the renewable energy roll-out

Bart Sykes, Regional Economic Development Manager at Squadron Energy; Vincent Dwyer, Co-Founder and CEO at Energy Estate; and Jess Adler, Corporate & Business Services Manager at WImmera Southern Mallee Development will speak at this RE-Alliance webinar.


February 19
Running a Digital Grid: The Next Challenge in the Energy Transition

Dani Alexander, CEO of the UNSW Energy Institute will moderate this webinar from The Energy, also featuring Emma Fagan, General Manager for Policy and Regulatory Affairs with Akaysha Energy; and Antti Harjula, Technical Director of Power System Performance and Connections with Powerlink Queensland. Register here to attend, or to view the recording later if you can’t make it on the day.


February 24
Energy Security NSW

AEMC Commissioner & Reliability Panel Chair Rainer Korte will keynote this CEDA event in Sydney also featuring ASL CEO Nevenka Codevelle, Neoen Australia Head of Development Nathan Ling, Transgrid EGM of Network Jason Krstanoski and Australian Gas InfrastructureGroup EGM Customer & Strategy Cathryn McArthur.


February 26
Energy Security Queensland

AEMC Commissioner Rainer Korte will keynote this CEDA event in Brisbane, also featuring Energy Queensland EGM Regulation, Risk and Strategy Benn Barr; Powerlink EGM, Operations Stewart Bell; APA Group Operations Executive Petrea Bradford; and CleanCo Queensland EGM Asset Operations Rimu Nelson.


February 27
National Energy Transition Research Summit

Climate Change Authority CEO Kath Rowley will speak at this ACOLA event in Canberra, alongside Net Zero Economy Authority CEO David Shankey and Australia’s Chief Scientist Tony Haymet.


March 3
Clean Energy Investor Group Conference

Victorian Energy Minister Lily D’Ambrosio will headline this Melbourne event also featuring ENGIE Australia Managing Director of Renewables and Batteries Laura Caspari, SEC Vic CEO Chris Miller, Queensland Renewable Energy Council CEO Katie-Anne Mulder, VicGrid CEO Alistair Parker, and Squadron Energy CEO Rob Wheals.


March 4-5
Energy Consumers Australia Foresighting Forum

Luis Gonzalez, Chief Data and AI Officer at Aboitz Power, Robert Gross, Director of the UK Energy Research Centre, and Harriet Thomson, Associate Director at the Glasgow Centre for Sustainable Energy will keynote this Sydney event. Industry speakers include EnergyAustralia CEO Mark Collette, Essential Energy CEO John Cleland, and Tim Jarratt, Group Executive, Market Development & Strategy, Ausgrid.


March 10
Orchestrating Consumer Energy Resources to Benefit Customers and Strengthen the Grid

AGL CEO Damien Nicks will keynote this Australian Energy Council event in Melbourne. Other speakers include AEMC Chair Anna Collyer and AEMO Executive General Manager, Policy & Corporate Affairs Violette Mouchaileh.

The Energy

The Energy is dedicated to covering the business of energy and in particular the people, capital, projects and emerging technology behind the energy transition.

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