The new price of keeping the lights on


Hey Reader, in today's edition:

  • Putting a price on resilience
  • Homework for COP30
  • Lessons from Norway's grid

Add resilience to the energy bill

Dangerous winds lashing the east coast and hailstones as big as golf balls are a reminder of the growing vulnerability of the low-voltage (LV) electricity network.

The Australian Energy Regulator (AER) and Australian Energy Market Commission (AEMC) have begun to assign a Value to Network Resilience (VNR) to encourage investment in a network more able to withstand and recover from a disaster. In 2026, the AER’s focus will shift to longer-term calculations to inform future determinations on energy prices.

Expert view

“Grid-edge visibility and distributed intelligence is now a frontline defence against extreme weather. When DNSPs can see what’s happening in real time, they can isolate faults faster, reconfigure the network, and keep electricity flowing safely. Without visibility of the network, every extreme weather condition increases the risk of outages and longer delays in restoring power to communities.

“Advanced monitoring tools … can provide real time data at the LV circuit level which can help under extreme weather extreme disturbances and keep the communities powered during storms. This will also help detect pre-faults in low voltage cables to detect faults before major outages occur.”

Dr Yogendra Vashishtha
Head of Future Networks, EA Technologies Australia

The 2025 rule for Victorian Distributed Network Service Providers (DNSPs) shows how regulators are starting to recognise new resilience expenditure factors, Vashishtha said, marking a turning point for an LV network that has lacked monitoring of the costs.

And while the surge in Consumer Energy Resources (CER) is spooking market operators, businesses and homeowners are using their rooftop solar, batteries — and even electric utes — as standalone power systems to keep the lights on.

Homework for COP30

“Urgent acceleration” is needed to keep the goals of the Paris Agreement within reach, according to three mandated papers published in the lead up to COP30 in Brazil.

The Biennial Transparency Report (BTR) Synthesis Report is the first of its kind, and shows countries starting to implement the Paris Agreement but warns of the clear need for broader and faster progress.

The Nationally Determined Contributions Synthesis Report shows countries are increasingly taking a whole-of-economy approach, with most (89%) setting economy-wide targets but there is a “serious need for more speed”.

The National Adaptation Plans Progress Report also highlights the urgent need for acceleration and the major scale of financial support required, particularly for vulnerable and developing countries.

Expert view

“This new generation of nationally determined contributions (NDCs) show a step-change in terms of quality, credibility and economic breadth.

Adaptation and resilience are becoming increasingly important. Almost three-quarters (73%) of new NDCs include adaptation components. Parties, especially from Small Island Developing States, are also increasingly integrating Loss and Damage as a core component of their NDCs. Significant progress has also been made on integrating into NDCs elements on gender, stakeholder and youth engagement, just-transitions, the roles of forests and oceans, and on Article 6, carbon markets.

Acceleration must start now. Much more support will be needed for many, especially those who did least to cause this global crisis.”

Simon Stiell
UN Climate Change Executive Secretary

Lessons from Norway's grid

During her time as CEO of Norwegian transmission system operator Statnett, Hilde Tonne faced both the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russian-led energy crisis.

Europe’s response to the crisis sped up the energy transition, but transmission wasn't able to keep up, Hilde says, sending home the message that there’s “no transition without transmission”.

Catch Up

Capital

Iron ore baron Andrew Forrest slammed US President Donald Trump’s moves against the energy transition and recommitted to phasing out diesel, urging Fortescue (ASX: FMG) shareholders to stay on board with green energy trials and repowering the Pilbara. “We’re not making some oligarch richer and fatter. This is our power system. This is your power system. You’re going to own a very big power company, ladies and gentlemen, it’ll be yours,” he told shareholders. (AAP) (The West)

Research by Baringa Partners, commissioned by the Clean Energy Investor Group (CEIG), identified how to grow the electricity grid to support production of green iron and other green export products at scale elsewhere. Baringa’s Australia Country Lead Peter Sherry says Australia can meet the increase in clean electricity demand associated with green exports without compromising ambitious domestic decarbonisation. “Enhanced interconnection across the NEM will be key to powering South Australia’s green iron industry, as it will enable an unlocking of our exceptional renewable resources across the east coast.”


Projects

Victorian “fast-tracked” the approval of two renewable energy projects. After a two-year assessment, Meadow Creek Solar Farm has state and federal planning and environmental approvals for a hybrid 332MW solar power and 1GWh battery energy storage system (BESS) on agricultural land near Wangaratta. In Hazelwood, Eku Energy’s 300MW BESS will have the capacity to power 104,000 homes during times of high demand. “Our fast-tracked pathway (the Development Facilitation Program) has unlocked nearly $8 billion worth of investment into renewable energy projects,” Planning Minister Sonya Kilkenny said. RMIT Emeritus Professor of Environment and Planning Michael Buxton told The Australian it was “really shocking” the federal assessment was effectively being handed over to the state and its “fundamentally flawed” process.


Policy

The Nationals dumped net zero by 2050 as a policy position, saying Australia should “do our fair share” to reduce global emissions but not more than the rest of the world, citing research that estimated the cost of net zero at up to $9 trillion or $250,000 per Australian. “Our approach will increase investment in cheaper electricity by broadening the Capacity Investment Scheme to include all energy technologies and remove the moratorium on nuclear energy,” National Leader David Littleproud told reporters in Canberra, proposing to peg emissions reduction efforts to the OECD average.

An update to Western Australia’s energy transition plan has been pushed out by two years to September 2027, putting at risk the 2030 closure of the state’s coal-fired power plants. As Boiling Cold said: “If the state government that runs energy policy, and owns the grid as well as the major generator and near-monopoly retailer, cannot say what it plans, investors are rightly nervous.”


Technology

The first of 50 EVs with vehicle-to-grid (V2G) technology have been plugged in as part of a federally funded project with electricity retailer Amber Electric. Australian Renewable Energy Agency (ARENA) CEO Darren Miller said standards and regulations are almost there, car manufacturers such as BYD are seeing the opportunity and getting on board, along with hardware provider StarCharge. “My guess is that in the next year or two this will be available to every household across the country who chooses to buy an EV,” he said.


Climate

Australia’s stand-off with Türkiye over hosting rights to COP31 continues. Both belong to the 28-nation Western European and Others Group, whose turn comes next year to host the United Nations' climate talks. Australia reportedly has the support of everyone except Türkiye, but the final decision by UN members must be unanimous. (AFR)

Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese said on Sunday he has written to President Tayyip Erdogan to resolve the deadlock and conceded “there's no real process for finalising the matter”. (Reuters)

The Clean Energy Regulator has granted 614,133 Australian Carbon Credit Units to Santos for carbon capture and storage at Moomba, a major milestone that the oil and gas company said proves the untapped potential of the abatement technology. (The Aus)


People

Former Australian Ambassador for the Environment and Paris Agreement negotiator Patrick Suckling has joined the board of the Centre for Policy Development (CPD).

Ex-Clean Energy Council CEO Kane Thornton joined the board at VicGrid.


Research

Research by Original Power and the First Nations Clean Energy Network, funded by Energy Consumers Australia, found 65,000 Indigenous households across Australia access electricity through prepayment supply arrangements and have disconnection rates as high as an average of 59 disconnections per year amid extreme heat and poverty. “A majority of communities surveyed understood that rooftop solar can help reduce costs, but government housing department policies are still a major barrier to customer choice,” said Lead Research Partner Dr Tom Longden, Western Sydney University.

Lithium oxidation at the anode is the leading cause of thermal runaway and fires in high-energy lithium batteries, not organic-electrolyte combustion. For better safety, batteries should be designed with electrolyte materials that are able to scavenge oxygen through low-heat reactions or stop oxygen crossover from cathode to anode. (Nature Energy)


Random

“The idea that you would hand over climate and energy policy to the likes of Matthew Canavan and the ghost of Barnaby Joyce is like handing Dracula the keys to the blood bank,” Environment Minister Murray Watt told ABC’s Insiders.

What's On

November 5
WA Energy Outlook

Rebecca Brown, Director General of WA’s Department of Energy and Economic Diversification, Horizon Power EGM Future Energy Vi Garrood, and EDL CEO James Harman are among the speakers at this CEDA event in Perth.


November 5
Resilience to Variable Renewable Energy Lulls

ASL Modelling Manager Dominic Price and climate scientist Stuart Brown will speak at this ASL webinar.


November 5
National Press Club

Outgoing ASIC Chair Joe Longo will address the National Press Club on “Open for opportunity: Taking charge of the future of our financial markets” at this Canberra event.


November 6
ANU Solar Oration

Merryn York, who has led system design at AEMO, will speak at this Canberra event, following an opening statement by ACT Energy Minister Suzanne Orr.


November 7
Type 2 Transitional Services Webinar

AEMO Group Manager for Future Energy Systems Chris Davies and Engineering Roadmap & Service Delivery Manager Senah Javed will cover the Statements of Need for the System Restart under high DPV conditions Service, Zero Synchronous Generation Trial, GFM Inverter Fault Current Trial, and the Black Start from IBR Trial at this online event.


November 12
National Press Club

Japan’s Ambassador to Australia Kazuhiro Suzuki will address the National Press Club on "Girt by sea and in the same boat: 50 years of Japan-Australia relations and beyond” at this Canberra event.


November 13
Australian Electric Vehicle Association Annual Conference

Smart Energy Lab General Manager Glen Morris and zero-emissions vehicle expert Nathan Gore-Brown will speak at this Melbourne event.


November 18
National Press Club

FutureCoal (formerly known as the World Coal Association) CEO Michelle Manook will address the National Press Club on “the myths and future of coal” at this Canberra event.

The Energy

The Energy is dedicated to covering the business of energy and in particular the people, capital, projects and emerging technology behind the energy transition.

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