Rise of the Kraken


Hey Reader, in today's edition:

  • Kraken gets going with Essential Energy
  • Getting commercial buildings off gas
  • Populism blow to budget forecasting

Kraken the peacemaker

On the battlefield that pits consumers aiming to fully exploit their own energy resources against distribution companies and retailers that want to control them, UK-based technology platform operator Kraken aims to be a peacemaker.

Freshly released to sign new customers for its core customer management product in Australia, Kraken is helping its first distribution network customer, Essential Energy, to upgrade its poles and wires across rural NSW to better host consumer energy resources as it aims to “supercharge” its growth here.

Policymakers want consumer energy resources — solar panels, batteries and smart thermostats to electric vehicle chargers, electric water heaters and heat pumps — “orchestrated” to better support the grid through the ups and downs of wind and solar generation and weather-induced demand.

But this won’t happen without the active involvement of distribution networks — which are increasingly challenged by see-sawing two-way energy flows, voltage and frequency fluctuations and other issues — says Mark Soper, head of Asia Pacific at Kraken.

Getting commercial buildings off gas

Gas connections to new commercial buildings should be banned nationwide, the Energy Efficiency Council says, on the back of a new report showing the benefits of accelerating electrification.

Commercial buildings account for more than 10% of Australia’s national carbon emissions, the report shows, with the commercial sector accounting for 9.3% of Australia’s total domestic consumption of natural gas. Hotels and residential aged care facilities are among the highest users. Motivating building owners to undertake what can be tricky retrofits won’t happen without policy intervention, the EEC says.

The upside of replacing existing gas in commercial buildings with efficient, electric alternatives could be 6 megatonnes of carbon not emitted, the report, produced in partnership with the Property Council of Australia, finds.

“At the moment, it's really the premium end of the market, where tenant demand is really driving this change,” EEC senior policy adviser Rob McLeod said.

But barriers to electrification outlined in the report, such as cost, physical challenges and ownership structures, outnumber the drivers.

Catch Up

Capital

Santos said it would ship the first LNG cargo from its Barossa gas project in the Timor Sea as it delivered its Q4 results. The project has been delayed by legal challenges and will supply gas to the Darwin LNG plant after the depletion of the Bayu-Undan field. Santos also reported a $200 million cost blowout in its Pikka oil project in Alaska, which it said was offset by lower-than-planned capital expenditure elsewhere in the portfolio. (AFR) (The Australian)

Revisions in the government’s December mid-year economic update were the highest in the 25 years of budget history tracked by the Parliamentary Budget Office, partially due to the large gap between the forecast and actual spend on the Cheaper Home Batteries Program. Of the $47.8 billion in revisions, $11.6 billion was due to the blowout of the home battery subsidy program, which was originally forecast to cost $2.3 billion. Economist Chris Richardson said “populist and rushed” policies made for more cost errors than previously. (AFR)

A new analysis from Wood Mackenzie says the fundamentals of the global solar industry will remain strong in 2026 and it will continue to grow. It identified an uptick in balcony solar PV in the US and a mega-project in the Middle East as major developments to watch this year. (PV Tech)

Bloomberg New Energy Finance forecasts $5.1 billion of investment in utility-scale solar and wind projects in Australia in 2026, with wind accounting for 95% of the total. Other key areas BNEF lists to watch in 2026 include a plateauing of rooftop solar while small-scale batteries continue to boom, wholesale power price volatility will decline and electric vehicle sales will exceed 200,000 units. (PV Magazine)


Projects

Fortescue CEO Dino Otranto told analysts the company was confident it had secured large scale BESS at “pricing that hasn’t really been seen” in Australia as it builds out its North Star Junction BESS, which is part of the company’s plan to decarbonise its Pilbara iron ore operations. “It’s working. It’s economic. It’s 24/7, it’s exactly what we want, and really it’s what this country needs. It will drive down the cost of electricity,” Otranto said. (Renew Economy)

A project initially pitched as being Australia’s biggest solar hybrid power plant appears to have had its ambitions cut back, with a planning decision approving a major variation. The Eurimbula Hybrid facility is UK group Elements Green’s first development in the Australian market, and was originally expected to deliver a 696MW solar farm, along with two 333MW (2 hour) grid-forming BESS. The project variation brings the solar farm down to 350MW with the disturbance footprint halved. The project received technical clearance for grid connection in May last year and is part of a grant-funded research program supported by the Australian Renewable Energy Agency, in partnership with the University of Queensland, EPEC, SMA, AEMO and Powerlink.


Policy

The OECD said Australia was on track to reach its 2030 emissions reduction target thanks to good progress in electricity generation. The global policy group’s latest Economic Survey of Australia said effective implementation of the Safeguard Mechanism, reducing transport emissions and continuing to expand renewable generation were still needed to deliver on the energy transition. The report also calls out waning competition, with policy falling behind peers and high levels of regulatory fragmentation across the states and territories adding to the problem.


Technology

Battery recycler Livium (ASX: LIT) said it was in discussions with South Korean solar tech firm Won Kwang S&T about building Australia’s first large‑scale PV recycling facility. Livium recently shipped 600 end-of-life solar panels to Won Kwang S&T, for recovery of critical minerals. In a statement, Livium CEO Simon Linge said “the federal government’s recently announced plans to support solar panel recycling adds to our belief that there is a great opportunity in this area”.

Australian energy grid technology group EcoJoule Energy completed the first installation of its voltage regulator technology in the UK. The project was delivered in partnership with UK Power Networks as part of a trial aimed at assessing the technology’s capability to manage voltage variability in the grid.


Climate

Ethical investment manager Australian Ethical joined with ethical share trading platform SIX to target insurer QBE over climate disclosures. SIX said it would lodge a shareholder resolution requesting QBE disclose the extent of its oil and gas exposure. It said the insurer was the only Australian listed provider of general commercial insurance with a climate policy allowing for continued underwriting of new oil and gas projects.


Research

Wind and solar generated a record 30% of EU electricity, higher than fossil power for the first time on record, Ember reported in its latest European Electricity Review. Wholesale electricity prices increased in 21 EU countries in 2025 compared to 2024, Ember said, with annual rises ranging from 22% in Austria to 3% in Greece, largely driven by gas.

Hydrogen projects that make it to financial close typically have a combination of stable policy support, strong off-take agreements and integrated infrastructure development, according to a new paper that examines the perspectives of investors, banks, policymakers, project developers and off-takers on project bankability. The paper, from the Oxford Institute for Energy Studies, connects failed hydrogen projects to policy ambiguity, regulatory inconsistency or weak coordination along the value chain. The role of governments in supporting successful hydrogen projects extends beyond financial support: it includes ensuring regulatory alignment, spatial planning and cross-border infrastructure coordination.

What's On

January 29
The Politics of the Impossible: Will Australia prioritise its economy and make polluters pay?

Professor Rod Sims and Superpower Institute Carbon Pricing and Policy Lead Ingrid Burfurd will speak at this webinar on the economic and political context behind The Superpower Institute’s latest report The Case for Pricing Pollution.


February 8-11
World Renewable Energy Congress

Zenith Energy Executive ESG & Stakeholder Engagement Dominic Da Cruz, Pollination Managing Director Rob Grant, Western Australian Program Director for The Superpower Institute Jessica Shaw and European Renewable Energies Federation Vice-President Rainer Hinrichs-Rahlwes will speak at this Perth event also featuring researchers from around the world.


February 11
AEMO Quarterly Energy Dynamics

AEMO Manager - Market Dynamics Kerry Galloway will speak at this webinar on the outcomes of the last quarter of 2025.


February 11
Delivering on the Queensland Energy Roadmap

CS Energy CEO Brian Gillespie will deliver the keynote at this Queensland Energy Club event in Brisbane.


February 24
Energy Security NSW

AEMC Commissioner & Reliability Panel Chair Rainer Korte will keynote this CEDA event in Sydney also featuring ASL CEO Nevenka Codevelle, Neoen Australia Head of Development Nathan Ling, Transgrid EGM of Network Jason Krstanoski and Australian Gas InfrastructureGroup EGM Customer & Strategy Cathryn McArthur.

The Energy

The Energy is dedicated to covering the business of energy and in particular the people, capital, projects and emerging technology behind the energy transition.

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