Fixing the Default Market Offer


Hey Reader, in today's edition:

  • DMO mark II
  • What's killing innovation
  • Offshore wind upside

How the DMO will be different this year

When the competition regulator recommended the Default Market Offer (DMO) in 2019, it was meant to be a safety net to ‘unreasonably high prices’ facing energy consumers who can’t or don’t shop around.

Now in its 8th year, the DMO is undergoing important changes to its purpose and formulation. Later today we’ll hear the headline number, but as Justice and Equity Centre energy program director Douglas McCloskey writes, there’s still work to be done to ensure it delivers on the promise.

Expert view

“The DMO has never been a price cap – though it’s often referred to as one. This has been a source of ongoing confusion and left many consumers paying more than necessary. Compounding this confusion, the DMO is a price reference based on a hypothetical ‘bill’ that relates to an indicative energy use. So each individual consumer would have to interpret what that means for their particular usage — impacting its value as a comparison.

These issues have led to poor consumer outcomes and driven consistent consumer stakeholder advocacy for DMO reform on the basis it wasn't working as either a consumer protection or an effective market reference.”

Douglas McCloskey
Program Director, Energy & Water Justice, Justice and Equity Centre

'Broken' R&D ecosystem stifling innovation

Australia has coasted on its reputation as the “lucky country” for too long, according to experts calling for “strategic, comprehensive and orderly change” to R&D policy settings, warning the country is currently over-reliant on resources and commodity exports as opposed to “the brain power of the country”.

“The warning lights are flashing,” Robyn Denholm — the Australian executive who was handpicked by Elon Musk to succeed him as chair of Tesla Motors — said in joining minister for industry, innovation and science Tim Ayres in launching Ambitious Australia, the final and what Ayres called “challenging” report of the government’s 12-month strategic examination of R&D.

Expert view

“It is heartening to see the government recognising the crucial role that research, development and innovation (RD&I) plays in our economic and social prosperity. In particular, for our sector, it is a crucial milestone that Energy & Environment has been identified as one of six National Innovation Pillars.

A key barrier to the execution of this strategy is the resourcing shortfall. The Energy Research Institutes Council for Australia last week highlighted the downward trajectory for energy R&D funding in Australia in a letter to Ministers Ayres, Bowen and Clare. The key message is, as a portion of GDP, Australian funding for energy RD&I has halved over the last decade. To quote the report itself, “this trend must be reversed because it is unacceptable to an ambitious Australia”.

To be clear, there is no additional funding allocated to RD&I as part of the Strategic Examination of R&D. It is not enough to rely on business to address this shortfall, which is the focus of Elements 3 and 4. We need early-stage technology development and support research beyond technology (including social research) that businesses will struggle to fund. With productivity inherently driven by innovation, we need greater public investment to seed our prosperous energy future.”

Dani Alexander
CEO, UNSW Energy Institute

Catch Up

Capital

Israeli missiles have struck Iran’s South Pars gas field, the largest such facility in the world and which Tehran shares with Qatar. In retaliation, Iran struck a Qatari refinery. Striking gas facilities suggests an escalation of hostilities, having bigger impact than targeting oil tankers travelling through the Strait of Hormuz, because it means there is no way to refill stocks even after the war ends, according to analysts. Oil is currently north of US$100 a barrel. (AFR) (Guardian)

Implementation of 7GW of offshore wind generation off Gippsland, Victoria would drive a $5/MWh reduction in wholesale prices across the entire NEM between 2033 and 2040, according to a new Jacobs analysis commissioned by Star of the South. Savings would rise to $15/MWh by 2040, the study found – a $5.2 billion total saving in total – with Victorian energy bills forecast to decline by $151 per year and $84 across the east coast. The analysis also links the offshore wind to a 934km reduction in necessary transmission infrastructure – a reduction of $4.9 billion – as well as a further reduction of $1.2 billion in transmission operating costs and $2.5 billion saved from reduced reliance on gas and hydrogen use at peak times.

The Queensland government has commenced market sounding for the $200 million North West Energy Fund, which it has positioned as supporting the CopperString high-voltage line linking Mount Isa and Townsville. More than 20 energy developers, generators, electricity distributors, suppliers, users and local councils have been engaged to participate in projects across Mt Isa, Cloncurry, Julia Creek and Richmond.


Energy systems

Australia’s coal fired power stations recorded a “staggering” 108 outages between October and February – including 18 scheduled and 90 unplanned breakdowns, the latest report from Reliability Watch showed. The outages mean that on average 5.3GW – 25% of coal fired power station capacity – “was unavailable at any point during the period,” the report found, noting that maintenance of the stations is also “becoming significantly more problematic”.


Policy

Prime minister Anthony Albanese, who will virtually attend a National Cabinet meeting today to discuss the fuel crisis, will ask state premiers and chief ministers to appoint a “point person” on fuel security to facilitate collaboration with the Commonwealth. The announcement comes on the heels of emergency meetings in Sydney and Melbourne at which the ACCC grilled fuel companies, wholesalers and retailers about the reasons behind recent significant hikes in the price of fuel. Simultaneously, resources minister Madeleine King has held ministerial talks with counterparts in Japan, South Korea, Singapore, the US, New Zealand and Timor-Leste with a view to enhancing cooperation on regional energy security.

A Norway-style Fair Share Levy (FSL) would have generated $1.1 billion in additional revenues since the start of the Iran crisis just over 2 weeks ago, The Superpower Institute has argued in an analysis that notes the existing Petroleum Resource Rent Tax (PRRT) has only raised $1.4 billion per year since 2019. This “perverse” situation means that “while Australian households and businesses are being stung by extremely high fuel prices caused by the crisis,” TSI chair Rod Sims said, “gas companies are reaping extraordinary profits from this same crisis.”

The UK’s newly launched Fusion Strategy 2026 marks a watershed moment in energy policy in that country, with the government gearing up to secure first-mover advantage with the appointment of ILIOS as construction partner for a £200 million ($375 million) STEP prototype fusion energy plant at West Burston. The plan, which will see UKAEA and energy tech company Eni establish a new company to advance fusion energy technologies by May, also includes training for over 2,000 people in fusion related disciplines.

The US government is preparing to pay over $1.3 billion (US$928 million) in penalties to oil company TotalEnergies to compensate for cancelling two federal leases for its Attentive Energy and Carolina Long Bay wind farms, according to reports that said the compensation would be paid four years after the former Biden administration awarded it the contract. TotalEnergies will reportedly invest in natural gas infrastructure in Texas instead.


Projects

NSW’s Bellambi Heights BESS will have revenue certainty after Danish energy trading company InCommodities signed a $200 million agreement with Vena Group that will earn revenues from the 204MW/510MWh project through market participation and energy market arbitrage. The deal for the battery storage system, in Beryl, NSW – Vena Group’s fourth Australian BESS – was announced during the Danish Royal State Visit, and will tap Denmark’s expertise in energy risk management and trading to support stabilisation of the Australian grid when the project goes live mid next year.

A massive surge in probable renewable energy projects pushed the renewables pipeline out to 20,799MW as of the end of February, according to the latest Clean Energy Regulator (CER) Large-Scale Renewable Energy Target data report. Added to the 5,967 MW of committed projects and 28,798MW of accredited projects in operation, Australia’s total renewables pipeline has reached 55,564MW – more than all current generation combined. Some 16MW of new power stations, totalling 12MW of capacity, were approved in February.

Some 108 homes in Samoa will be fitted with solar and battery systems as the initial beneficiaries of the first project under the Australia-backed REnew Pacific, a $75 million project that will help Asia-Pacific communities benefit from solar and other renewable energy. The project will also install solar and battery systems in five community fales across upolu and Savai’i, and will upgrade a mini-grid power network on Apolima Island providing 24/7 renewable energy to 11 homes.

Environmental regulators are now accepting public comment on Fortescue’s Bonney Downs Wind Farm, a 2.1GW wind farm with up to 100 turbines and substations that is proposed to be installed in WA’s Pilbara region. The site is around 6km from Fortescue’s Christmas Creek Iron Ore Mine Expansion project. Submissions close on March 30.


Regulation

EV owners could soon be charging their vehicles at public streetlights, with a looming Essential Energy ring-fencing waiver set to petition the AER for a trial that would give retailers access to white-labelled 7kW EV chargers mounted directly onto new composite pole streetlights. The project is intended to leverage publicly accessible infrastructure to fill in coverage gaps, particularly in regional areas, where private investors have yet to build up enough charging infrastructure to support widespread EV adoption. “Essential Energy has the distribution network already with the poles and the wires,” general manager for commercial development Andrew Hillsdon said, “and it makes sense for us to take this next step to deliver the charging infrastructure that regional people need.”


Technology

With an eye to standardising the construction of gigawatt-scale AI data centres, NVIDIA and Schneider Electric subsidiary AVEVA have published a new AI reference design for NVIDIA’s Vera Rubin systems. The new reference design enables new power distribution with increased supply voltage of 480VAC, and supports new IT room architectures with power guidelines, higher voltage for GPU racks and liquid cooling to help data centre builders optimise capital cost and efficiency.


Research

Dozens of global ‘mega-leaks’ of methane gas are pouring greenhouse gases into the atmosphere and could be easily fixed, UCLA researchers have reported in an analysis that noted many of the sites on its new top 25 list “often result from poor maintenance and can be simple to fix.” The largest leak – in Texas – is spilling 5.5 tonnes of methane per hour, the equivalent of a million SUVs while concentrations of sites in Turkmenistan, Venezuela, and Iran suggest systemic failures to conduct routine maintenance.

CSIRO researchers have produced the world’s first proof-of-concept quantum battery, with a design that has a multi-layered organic microcavity that allows it to be charged wirelessly using a laser. The prototype proves theoretical predictions about quantum batteries and validates a new technique for “rapid, scalable charging and energy storage at room temperature,” quantum science and technologies science leader Dr James Quach said, highlighting research findings that confirm a “counterintuitive” quantum effect that means batteries charge faster the larger they get.


Climate

The Australasian Centre for Corporate Responsibility (ACCR) has appealed the recent Federal Court decision against it in ACCR v Santos Ltd, signalling a new round in court proceedings that date back to 2021. At issue is the way Santos represented its climate commitments – an issue that, ACCR co-CEO Brynn O’Brien said, “concerns fundamental legal standards that apply to all businesses in Australia responding to climate change, and which are central to the integrity of market disclosures…. Businesses doing hard, evidence-driven work in the energy transition need clear guidance on the standards governing climate disclosures.”


People

Woodside Energy has appointed Elizabeth Westcott as CEO and managing director, cementing her position after serving as acting CEO since the December departure of Meg O’Neill. Westcott has run Woodside’s Australian operations since she joined the company in 2023 after a 25-year career at EnergyAustralia and ExxonMobil.

What's On

March 17-19
Energy Networks Australia Conference

Climate Change Authority Chair Matt Kean, Iberdrola Australia CEO Paul Simshauser and Airtrunk Founder Robin Khuda will keynote this event in Adelaide also featuring the leaders of Australia's energy network companies.


March 18-19
Energy Storage Australia

Speakers at this Sydney event include NEM review chair A/Prof Tim Nelson; Modo Energy’s Wendel Hortop; SolaX Power’s Wenyan Sharp; Indigenous Energy Australia’s Michael Frango, Hydro Tasmania’s Erin van Maanen, and the Energy Security Corporation’s Paul Peters.


March 19
Powering the future: Sustainability of mining energy transition materials

The Melbourne Energy Institute will welcome Monash University’s Dr Nikolas Kuschnig for a session exploring the sustainability of mining energy transition minerals. The one-hour session, starting at 2pm online and in person at the Melbourne Connect building in Carlton, will explore the lack of information about artisanal and small-scale mining (ASM) and the impact of uncertainty on the supply of metals critical for the energy transition.


March 24
Powering WA's Regions: Remote and Offshore Renewables

The Clean Energy Council will hold a panel session at Perth’s Golden Ballroom Centre, with speakers including Sabine Powell of DNV Australia, Vi Garrood of Horizon Power, Thomas Friberg of Zenith Energy, Emma van der Velde of GHD, and Nicole Blackburn of Schneider Electric (Australia).


March 24
Energy Dialogue Victoria

A panel of senior industry executives will discuss the future of energy transition, regulation and innovation at a Trans-Tasman Business Circle event. Speakers include Clean Energy Regulator chair David Parker AM, CBA’s Vivek Dhar, and Momentum Energy’s Lisa Chiba.


March 26
Biodiversity and Energy System Planning

The challenges of biodiversity protection in energy system planning will come into focus as the University of Melbourne’s Net Zero Australia (NZAu) Project releases the third report from its second phase. Speakers include Melbourne Biodiversity Institute’s Brendan Wintle, Queensland University’s Simon Smart, and Iberdrola Australia’s Claire Single.


April 23
Future Energy Forum

This Melbourne Energy Institute (MEI) event will focus on the potential role of nuclear-related technologies and other advanced energy technologies. Speakers include Type One Energy’s Charlie Baynes-Reid, HB11 Energy’s Dr Warren McKenzie, Hostplus’s Dr Sam Sicilia; University of Melbourne Professors Maria Rost Rublee and Martin Sevoir; and Melbourne Energy Institute director Professor Richard Sandberg.

The Energy

The Energy is dedicated to covering the business of energy and in particular the people, capital, projects and emerging technology behind the energy transition.

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