Levelling the demand and supply playing field


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Hey Reader, in today's edition:

  • Getting demand side participation right
  • Exposure to climate litigation heats up
  • Geothermal goes supercritical

Insights on integrating smaller things

More demand side participation will require the coordinated development of new regulations, updating existing systems for the participation of aggregated loads of 100kW or less, locational pricing, and appliance subsidies that account for time-of-day energy consumption, according to a report released by the Energy Efficiency Council.

“Demand-side participation is critical for efficient, reliable electricity markets. The NEM Review provides a key opportunity to address the supply-side bias in institutional arrangements and market design which prevents demand-side capacity from competing fairly with supply-side resources.”
Dr Bill Lilley
CEO of RACE for 2030

The report’s authors, independent expert Dr Gabrielle Kuiper and Dr Dylan McConnell from UNSW Sydney, found a number of technical and regulatory changes were required to remove barriers to aggregated distributed energy resources (DER) participation in future markets. They urged energy ministers to:

  • Legislate a DER Technical Regulator
  • Extend the Wholesale Demand Mechanism (WDRM) to small users and households
  • Adjust Greenhouse and Energy Minimum Standards (GEMS) to include flexibility capability for major household appliances
  • Enable independent aggregators to participate in the spot market as Voluntary Scheduled Resource Providers via an update to the Flexible Trading Relationships FTR rule change
  • Allow aggregator (third party) access to real-time smart meter data with consumer permission
  • Upgrade market systems for digital, low-cost interfaces, automated dispatch, settlement, and interoperability
  • Accelerate the development of open, secure, and interoperable data sharing across the sector.

Recommendations for reform to derivatives markets including developing standardised forward products or exchange-traded hedges that support access for flexible demand aggregators and the demand side more broadly.

Expert view

“We’re at an important moment in which government, market bodies, industry, and consumers are all taking a step back and considering how to set up our energy markets to drive efficient investment in a twenty-first century energy system.

Gabrielle and Dylan’s independent analysis points to some fundamental principles for reform – to get the best outcomes for consumers we need to level the playing field between the demand side and the supply side of our energy system, and we need to ensure emerging participants and business models are allowed to compete with incumbents. These are principles that are reflected in the NEM Review interim report, but there is still work to do to ensure that the detailed reform agenda actually enables the kind of competition that will deliver an affordable energy transition.”

Luke Menzel
CEO, Energy Efficiency Council

Exposure to climate litigation heats up

Some 213 major heatwaves were made “more likely and more intense” because of emissions from 180 carbon majors, including several Australian fossil fuel producers, according to research published in Nature.

Professor Friederike Otto at the Centre for Environmental Policy, Imperial College London, said the research was an important step towards accountability.

“Many of these carbon majors knew as early as the 1970s that burning fossil fuels was warming the planet. Instead of shifting their business models towards renewable energy, they misled the public about the dangers of their products and lobbied governments to keep the world dependent on fossil fuels,” he said.

Australia-specific data shared with The Energy suggested 50 heatwaves were made possible with BHP’s (ASX: BHP) contribution, 49 thanks to Woodside Energy (ASX: WDS), Santos (ASX: STO) was also 49, and 41 were attributed to Whitehaven Coal (ASX: WHC).

Insights on Australian heatwaves included:

  • In 2009, 27 January to 8 February (Victoria, NSW & Tasmania). Reported casualties: 347. Made about 21 times more likely and 0.7°C warmer by climate change.
  • In 2014, 13 January to 18 January (Western Australia & Victoria). Reported casualties: 139. Made about 7 times more likely and 0.7°C warmer by climate change.
  • In December 2018 to January 2019 (without regional breakdown). No information on reported casualties. Made more than 10,000 times more likely and 1.2°C warmer by climate change.
“All greenhouse gas emissions cause climate change harms, and this study shows that companies’ emissions have, individually, intensified hundreds of heatwaves worldwide. With more and more lawsuits aiming to hold companies responsible for contributing to climate change impacts, work like this provides the basis for well-informed judicial decision-making and with clearer scientific proof of the impacts of companies emissions, firms’ exposure to legal risks is continuing to rise.”
Dr Rupert Stuart-Smith
Deputy Director of the Oxford Sustainable Law Programme

Geothermal goes supercritical

Geothermal power station operator Mercury NZ, the Ministry of Business, Innovation and Employment, and the local guardian of New Zealand’s Rotokawa geothermal resource signed a Memorandum of Understanding on developing supercritical geothermal energy.

Conventional geothermal is already a major energy source in New Zealand. Drilling into supercritical zones means going 1km-3km deeper into the Earth and managing higher pressures and temperatures than existing generation assets.​​

“This early-stage exploration could help prove the viability of supercritical geothermal energy, which has the potential to deliver several times the power output of conventional geothermal wells. This groundbreaking work could be a game changer for securing New Zealand’s future energy needs.”
Shane Jones
Regional Development Minister

A multi-disciplinary design team of local and international experts is being recruited to lead work across regulatory approvals, design, risk assessment, geoscientific modelling, engineering, procurement, drilling and asset management.

Tauhara North No.2 Trust, as guardian of the resource, has deep cultural and historical connections to the area, with its geothermal energy used for cooking, bathing, and healing for generations.

Catch Up

Capital

Woodside Energy and Petronos finalised a 15-year sale and purchase agreement (SPA) for the supply of 1 million tonnes per annum of LNG to Malaysia from 2028. Under the agreement, Woodside’s first long-term supply deal with Malaysia, LNG will be supplied from Woodside’s global portfolio, which may include volumes from the recently approved Louisiana LNG project in the United States. Woodside Chief Commercial Officer Mark Abbotsford said the LNG imports would meet rising demand from the power and industrial sectors, driven by data-centre growth, the wider adoption of artificial intelligence technologies and the transition away from coal-fired generation.

A partnership between Newcastle, Maitland and Lake Macquarie councils highlights the leadership role local councils can play in climate action at a regional scale, and could be a blueprint for removing barriers to clean energy. Locals will be able to access solar, batteries and electric vehicle chargers from program partner 1KOMMA5 Australia and their network of local installers. Upfront payments or affordable options to pay the system off over time will be available, as well as a program discount and help with government rebates.

“By aligning with Newcastle and Lake Macquarie, we’re leveraging collective expertise and resources to deliver a program that supports residents with high-quality solar and battery solutions installed by trusted Hunter tradies. Residents can enjoy peace of mind with long term warranties, three post installation check-ups and a five-year satisfaction guarantee.”
Philip Penfold
Maitland Mayor

Meanwhile China, the world’s largest car market for pure battery electric vehicles and plug-in hybrids, is facing a bloodbath in the wake of Beijing’s crackdown on aggressive discounts. “Even 20 OEMs [original equipment manufacturers] is too much,” BYD executive vice-president Stella Li said on the sidelines of the Munich motor show (AFR/FT)


Projects

Vulcan Energy (ASX:VUL) secured a permit to build and operate its Central Lithium Plant (CLP) for the Phase One Lionheart Project and a second phase, for the production of battery-quality lithium hydroxide monohydrate, at Industrial Park Höchst in Germany.

“Securing the CLP permit is an important step in the development of a domestic lithium supply chain for Germany and the European Union. We are making substantial progress in our aim to establish a sustainable, domestic and cost-effective source of lithium for the European battery and automotive industries, supporting the EU's goal of reducing critical raw material dependencies.”
Cris Moreno
Vulcan Energy CEO

Policy

US Secretary of Energy Chris Wright is in Europe this week to lobby for oil and gas to “save” the region from energy insecurity but experts doubt his efforts will result in any significant changes to European climate and energy policy. (Inside Climate News)

“I think it’s very easy to say that what the current US government is doing is de facto climate disinformation.”
Petter Lydén
Head of international climate policy at Germanwatch

The slump in eastern Australia gas demand shows no signs of easing, according to IEEFA’s Lead Analyst Joshua Runciman, with gas consumption down almost a third (30%) since its peak in 2012-13. Recent data shows gas use in manufacturing fell materially in 2023-24, down by about 11% in the wake of the global energy crisis that saw prices spike. Gas consumption in the National Electricity Market has fallen materially, down by 57% from 2012-13 to 2024-25, as renewable energy generation displaces coal and gas, undermining arguments that more gas will be needed to support renewables, he said.


Regulation

The Renewable Energy Alliance (RE-Alliance) is cautiously optimistic after Environmental Minister Murray Watt confirmed environmental law reforms would allow for greater use of regional planning, but will be keeping an eye on:

  • Making sure the federal government keeps its important role in protecting Ramsar wetlands, nationally threatened species and world heritage areas
  • Ensuring communities can engage on individual project decisions
  • And that biodiversity offsets are robust and only used as a last resort.

Technology

Energy company ENGIE was recognised by Genesys among the global winners of Orchestrators Innovation Awards for replacing fragmented systems and manual processes with AI-powered tracking, real-time analytics and gamification for better quality assurance and forecasting.


Climate

Australia has been digging deep to bolster ties with its Pacific neighbours and affirm its position as a security and climate partner of choice. (Aljazeera) (AAP)

Solomon Islands Prime Minister Jeremiah Manele, as the new Chairman of the Pacific Islands Forum (PIF), said the highlight of this week’s gathering will be the endorsement of two key regional initiatives that reaffirm the region’s global leadership: the signing of the agreement to establish the Pacific Resilience Facility and the endorsement of the Blue Pacific Ocean of Peace Declaration. (Daily Post)

With the 2035 emissions reduction target still under wraps, Australia’s first National Climate Risk Assessment shows how much is at stake.

“The science is equally clear: to keep 1.5°C alive, Australia must cut domestic emissions by at least 90% by 2035 and achieve net zero before 2040. A strong target is not only achievable, it is in Australia’s economic interest. Anything less signals to the world and to investors that we are not serious about climate action or ready to compete in a global net zero economy."
Climate advocate Dermot O’Gorman and WWF-Australia Governor Kesaia Tabunakawa in the John Menadue public policy journal

Meanwhile the tussle over hosting next year’s international climate talks continues. Foreign Affairs Minister Penny Wong said negotiations were “pretty difficult” and “Turkey is not backing down”. “We’re going to keep trying … because we want to elevate Pacific voices — the Pacific is on the front-line of climate change,” she said.


People

The Australian Resources & Energy Employer Association (AREEA) released the Evolution of Work: A Resources and Energy Industry Workforce Report, which includes impact and capability ratings amid changing workforce expectations and rapid technological change. Psychosocial wellbeing was forecast to have the biggest impact on the future of work but was currently also the largest capability gap. Diversity, Equity and Inclusion (DEI) is also falling short.

Telstra chief executive Vicki Brady has questioned whether Australia can meet its 82% renewable energy target by 2030. "I think it’s one of the most complex issues as a country that we’re having to face," she said at the National Press Club on Wednesday.


Research

Macquarie and University of Wollongong researchers have developed and built a transducer for high-sensitivity sonar systems, which are vital for water managers, dam operators, mining sites, and environmental monitoring or mapping of riverbeds, tracking sediment movement, and surveillance of underwater vegetation such as seagrass. At the heart of the system is a “ceramic puck” that converts electrical energy into underwater sound waves.

Livium (ASX:LIT) signed a rare earths recycling term sheet with the University of Melbourne to design and build an Australian-first prototype for extraction using microwave heating, with the potential to reduce energy consumption by 85% compared to traditional "hot block" methods. The university’s technology also achieves high recovery rates, while reducing acid usage and wastewater.


Random

The world’s biggest battery project will begin construction immediately in northern England, having secured about $1 billion in public and private financing, marking a significant step forward in the UK’s transition to renewable energy. (Bloomberg)

What's On

September 11
SACOSS Energy Forum

Australian Energy Regulator Chair Clare Savage, Energy Consumers Australia Advocacy and Policy Executive Manager Adam Collins, and Monash University Professorial Fellow Ron Ben-David will speak at this event in Adelaide.


September 11-12
24th Energy in WA Conference

WA Program Director for The Superpower Institute Jessica Shaw will lead a panel on the nuts and bolts of how flexible, integrated solutions are being delivered, featuring Executive GM Commercial & Growth at AGIG Rachael Smith, APA’s GM Power Development Gary Bryant, Enscope President Phil Ireland, Accure’s Australia Head Alan Coller and AEMO’s System Operations expert Paul Elliott at this event in Perth.


September 15
Queensland Clean Energy Summit

Corrs Chambers Westgarth Partner Melissa Grintner, Windlab Chief Development Officer Nathan Blundell, Aula Energy Head of Development Anthony Russo, regional mayors Greg Williamson and Andrew Smith, and Jo Sheppard from the Queensland Farmers'​ Federation are among the line-up at this Clean Energy Council event in Brisbane.


September 16
The Price of Power: The Future of Australia's Energy Sector

Bluescope Chief Executive, Climate Change and Sustainability Deborah Caudle, Alinta Energy CEO Jeff Dimery, AGL CEO Damien Nicks and Australian Energy Council CEO Louisa Kinnear will speak at this American Chamber of Commerce event in Melbourne, with R. Blair Thomas, CEO of US energy investment firm EIG speaking via Zoom.


September 18
Shaping the future of energy in the North, Broome

Horizon Power Future Technology & Innovation Manager David Edwards will speak alongside WA Chamber of Minerals and Energy Manager for Climate and Energy Steven Mills and Renew Map Co-founder Alex Thompson at this Broome Chamber of Commerce & Industry event.


September 23
AEMO's Annual Results

Australian Energy Market Operator CEO Daniel Westerman and Executive General Manager for Finance and Governance Vanessa Hannan will outline progress against strategic priorities and initiatives, financial results for FY25 and priorities for FY26.


September 24
Updated net zero pathways for Australia

The Net Zero Australia Project team from the University of Melbourne, the University of Queensland and Princeton University will present their latest report on the roles of renewables, energy storage and firming including nuclear, carbon capture and storage and other complementary technologies at this hybrid event.


October 7-8
NEM Development Conference 2025

EnergyAustralia Managing Director Mark Collette and Powerlink CEO Paul Simshauser will headline this Brisbane event hosted by Griffith University and UQ, which will also feature Queensland Farmers Federation CEO Jo Sheppard, NEM Review panel Chair Tim Nelson, Victoria Energy Policy Centre Director Bruce Mountain, University of Sydney Professor of Law Penny Crossley, Iberdrola GM Regulation & Energy Policy Joel Gilmore and Global Roam CEO Paul McArdle.


October 15
The Energy Q&A with the NEM Review panel

NEM Review panel Tim Nelson, Paula Conboy, Ava Hancock and Phil Hirschhorn will speak at this webinar moderated by The Energy Advisory Board Member Anna Hancock.

The Energy

The Energy is dedicated to covering the business of energy and in particular the people, capital, projects and emerging technology behind the energy transition.

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