Australian climate tech at COP30


Hey Reader, in today's edition:

  • Climate tech innovation in the wild
  • Will big batteries eat their own lunch?
  • IEA Global Outlook

Myrtle is open for business

There’s a lot of talk about climate tech at COP30, and some innovators who are actually doing it.

MCi Carbon Co-Founder Sophia Hamblin Wang, an award winner at the Glasgow COP four years ago, arrived with a suitcase full of the first samples of carbon-sequestering materials from an Australian demonstration plant as big-emitting partners line up to see if there's a good business case and abatement prospects for a similar plant at their industrial sites.

"We call it a demonstration plant but it's like a Swiss Army knife of mineral carbonation," she told The Energy from Brazil.

Will big batteries eat their own lunch?

It’s already happened in the US markets with the largest fleets, the ship has sailed in the UK, and it’s starting to happen here — big batteries becoming a victim of their own success.

Average prices earned by big batteries discharging plunged in the September quarter and it’s not just increased competition that is pushing down profits.

The economics of batteries tops the agenda for The Energy’s inaugural live event — Energy Tetris: Understanding the evolving energy mix in the 24-hour system — in Melbourne and Sydney next month.

With lithium prices soaring, two of Australia’s largest battery companies are playing the long game, detailing their very different strategies to survive this particular game of power poker.

The dawning of the Age of Electricity

Renewables are growing faster than any other major energy source in all scenarios as their cost advantage outpaces rivals, and the increasingly less secure world looks set for a gas glut, according to the latest outlook from the International Energy Agency (IEA).

“Grids, storage, dispatchable generation, demand-side flexibility and close attention to the quality of grid operation are pivotal for electricity security.
While electrification offers long-term efficiency gains and emissions reductions, it also increases the sensitivity of movements in electricity prices, which are shaped by a complex mix of fuel costs, infrastructure investment, market design and policy choices.”

Global Energy Outlook 2025

A key issue for electricity is the speed at which new assets are rolled out but spending is lagging in some elements, the IEA found. Investment in electricity generation has risen almost 70% since the 2015 Paris Agreement, to reach US$1 trillion a year, but the annual grid spend has risen at less than half that pace to US$400 million – increasing congestion, delaying the connection of new energy sources, and pushing up power bills.

Electricity demand rises by around 40% to 2035 in both the current and stated scenarios and by more than 50% in a net zero by 2050 world. Weather-related risks are set to rise across all scenarios, which all exceed 1.5 degrees of warming by around 2030, with transmission and distribution grids particularly vulnerable. Gas has been revised up, driven by coal-to-gas switching, but questions remain about where all the new LNG will go after a surge in final investment decisions for new projects in 2025.

Curtailment of wind and solar is on the rise, not just in Australia, as are periods of negative pricing in wholesale markets, which is showing signs of becoming less extreme here amid the national battery rollout.

Energy, a core issue of economic and national security, is also at the heart of geopolitical tensions with risks to fuel supply and China dominating in energy transition minerals and export-controlled components and technologies, and electricity infrastructure increasingly vulnerable to cyberattacks, operational complexity and climate-driven hazards.

The next frontier is data centre energy use, with investment in data centres expected to reach US$580 billion in 2025, surpassing the US$540 billion invested in global oil supply.

Expert view

"This year’s World Energy Outlook (WEO) makes the choices for the global energy system and the global economy unambiguous. The Current Policies Scenario points to continued fossil fuel dependence, persistent market volatility, and structurally high energy prices.

If countries want to grow their economies and protect their citizens from rollercoaster energy prices, they need to focus relentlessly on energy efficiency and the decarbonisation of energy demand. These are not just climate measures; they are economic imperatives."

Maria Pastukhova
Programme Lead, Energy Transition, E3G

Expert view

“There’s a revolution happening right now and it’s in renewables and electrification. The evidence on the ground is overwhelming – EV sales are taking off in many emerging countries, solar is permeating even through the Middle East. Technology is pushing new boundaries, for example, grid batteries now mean solar is increasingly dispatchable. Scenarios based on current policies and legislation are behind the curve of technology change, as the electrotech revolution gathers pace.

Fossil-fuel importing countries are still reeling from the energy crisis and are trying to urgently reduce their reliance on expensive and insecure fossil fuels. The faster pathways offer a cheaper, more efficient and more secure energy system, while the slower pathways raise global temperatures and bloat energy demand with inefficient burning of fossil fuels. Renewables and electrification will dominate the future – and all fossil-importing nations will gain the most by embracing them.”

Dave Jones
Chief Analyst of Global Energy, Ember

Expert view

Renewable energy growth in the 2025 WEO shows many of the same structural issues as our previous analysis highlights. Important renewable technologies including solar PV and wind power are projected to grow, but the Current Policies and Stated Policies scenarios keep these growth rates just about static. The WEO’s own analysis contradicts this projection, as wind and solar additions from 2020-24 outpaced what was projected in the 2021 Net Zero Emissions scenario.

Even more, in the long term, the WEO projects a decline in solar PV installation rates. Technologies that can flexibly use surplus renewable electricity – electric vehicles, heat pumps, electrolysers – exist in the IEA’s model but seem limited in their ability to phase-in renewables during the last decade of the transition. The 2040s will see the highest absolute additional energy demand in history, as billions of people in the sunbelt will require more energy for higher living standards. Why the current and future lowest cost electricity source that can be operated almost 24/7 with cheap batteries in sun-rich regions should lose momentum remains unclear.

Gabriel Lopez and Christian Breyer
Solar economy researchers, LUT University, Finland

Catch Up

Capital

Market Forces released a fossil fuel company “blocklist” for Australian banks, cutting through the climate-wash, after finding the big four have provided $43.4 billion to the world’s biggest coal, oil and gas companies, including more than $30 billion for expansion, in the decade since the 2015 Paris Agreement. A new trend has emerged, with ANZ and Westpac found to account for over 80% of all lending by the big four to the major fossil fuel companies in 2024 and 2025, according to the analysis.

MinRes (ASX: MIN) announced a partnership to shore up its lithium operations at the Wodgina and Mt Marion mines in Western Australia, with South Korean steel giant POSCO to pay $1.2 billion in cash. “This partnership will play an important role in diversifying the global lithium supply chain and strengthen bilateral ties between Australia and Korea in critical minerals,” MinRes Chair Malcolm Bundey said.


Projects

IEEFA’s Josh Runciman and Amandine Denis-Ryan estimated in a research note that Woodside Energy’s (ASX: WDS) Browse gas would cost about $7.80/GJ to produce — rising to more than $9/GJ delivered to Perth, which is over four times the cost of existing domestic gas and on par with levels the Australian Energy Market Operator (AEMO) says would cause industrial users to cut operations.

The First Nations Clean Energy Network launched a resource to track almost 60 energy projects awarded a tender under the Capacity Investment Scheme (CIS), and implications for First Nations people and communities.

Ausgrid launched the Merriwa Microgrid in the Hunter region of NSW, to trial a way of ensuring local energy stays on during outages such as extreme weather events. During an unplanned outage, the microgrid disconnects from the main power grid, and provides electricity to keep the town’s services running. It’s configured to deliver backup power to 27 identified connections, including the pharmacy, servo, and places of shelter such as the RSL Club and Country Women’s Association rooms.

Iberdrola Australia was selected as Development Partner for the Victorian section of VNI West, a 240km, 500kV double-circuit transmission line proposed to Victoria and NSW that is a long-delayed but vital support for the flow of new forms of generation and storage as coal exits the grid. VicGrid will lead engagement with landholders, Traditional Owners, and communities, and remain the primary point of contact.

Queensland-owned CleanCo will supply Aurizon with power from the MacIntyre Wind Farm in the Western Downs, Kaban Wind Farm in Far North Queensland and Woolooga Solar Farm north of Brisbane for a lower-emission coking coal supply chain. Aurizon operates Australia’s largest electrified rail freight system, the Central Queensland Coal Network, and by securing renewable energy from CleanCo it can continue operating critical export infrastructure while lowering emissions, according to Energy Minister David Janetzki.


Policy

Senior Liberals including Sussan Ley’s deputy Ted O’Brien and Liberal Senate leader Michaelia Cash argued against a net zero target, while moderate Liberals Andrew Bragg, Jane Hume and Julian Lesser made the case to retain the emissions reduction policy in some form, as did Andrew McLachlan – the party’s most pro-climate member, The Guardian reported. Only recently regaining his Melbourne seat of Goldstein, Tim Wilson warned against becoming “Nationals-lite”. The Nationals’ Matt Canavan will represent his party in policy negotiations with the Liberals on Sunday. (Sky)

Japan’s Ambassador to Australia Kazuhiro Suzuki urged the Albanese government to offer taxpayer-funded incentives for carbon capture and storage to support industries to decarbonise. “Japan is doing so, and Australia – blessed with depleted gas fields ideal for storage – has even greater potential to do so,” he told the National Press Club. (AFR)


Regulation

Essential Energy received a regulatory waiver from the Australian Energy Regulator (AER) to open an academy to train up to 1,000 people a year amid a growing shortage of skilled workers needed for the energy transition. The Training Academy will launch with new courses in July 2026 at its Orange education hub, with the full curriculum expected to be on offer from July 2027 at a purpose-built training facility in Tamworth. It will offer nationally recognised qualifications and micro-credentials, including certificates in renewable energy, electrotechnology, and distribution networks.


Technology

Australian solar innovator SunDrive’s copper-based process, which replaces silver in solar cells to cut costs and improve efficiency, received $25.3 million from the Australian Renewable Energy Agency (ARENA) to speed up its transition from laboratory breakthrough to market-ready technology.


Climate

Assistant Minister for Climate Change and Energy Josh Wilson continues to carry the flag in Brazil. “There is certainly a sense of resolution, there's a sense of energy and I think some optimism but also realism because the multilateral system has taken a few knocks in recent times and we need processes like this to be at their best in all of our interests, to see concerted global action on what is really the biggest challenge we face in the 21st century and more than likely in the 22nd century,” he told an SBS podcast.


People

Kath Rowley was appointed CEO of the Climate Change Authority, replacing Brad Archer. “Brad has served the Authority well over the last seven years, including the restoration of the organisation in 2022 following the election of our government,” Climate Change and Energy Minister Chris Bowen said in a LinkedIn post.

The Australian Energy Council’s board appointed Origin Energy (ASX: ORG) CEO Frank Calabria as Chair, and Erin van Maanen, Executive General Manager, Strategy at Hydro Tasmania, as Deputy Chair of the peak body for energy retailers and generators.

Origin’s Greg Jarvis, Executive General Manager, Energy Supply and Operations, will retire at the end of June 2026, with a recruitment process to take place in coming months.

The Australian Sustainable Finance Institute (ASFI) appointed Worimi man and respected cultural leader Professor Deen Sanders as Board Advisor and Cultural Governance and First Nations Leadership Advisor.


Research

Across the world, 119 documented cyber attacks on energy companies occurred in the two years to 2024, according to Serbian researchers, including on Energy Australia. Attacks were largely financially motivated, although politically motivated ‘hacktivism’ and espionage are on the rise. The researchers say their work “highlights the fragility of the information systems and digital solutions used in the energy sector”. (Energy Policy)


Random

New Zealand’s Transpower declared a grid emergency for parts of the south, removing some transmission lines from service due to the onset of an severe (G4) Geomagnetic Induced Current event. (1News)

What's On

November 13
Working towards net-zero agriculture

CSIRO’s Chief Scientist Unlocking Net Zero Michael Battaglia, CEFC Director Melanie Madders, NAB sustainability finance expert James Bentley and woolgrower Trent Young will speak at this online event.


November 13
Australian Electric Vehicle Association Annual Conference

Smart Energy Lab General Manager Glen Morris and zero-emissions vehicle expert Nathan Gore-Brown will speak at this Melbourne event.


November 18
National Press Club

FutureCoal (formerly known as the World Coal Association) CEO Michelle Manook will address the National Press Club on “the myths and future of coal” at this Canberra event.


November 20
2026 ACCU Review

Climate Change Authority Deputy CEO Eliza Murray, General Manager Mia Swainson, and Manager Gavin Mongan will speak at a webinar on the authority’s upcoming review of the Australian Carbon Credit Unit (ACCU) Scheme.


November 25
The NEM Review and Firming up the Transition

NEM Review Chair Tim Nelson, CEFC CEO Ian Learmonth, Transgrid CFO Nadine Lennie, and AEMO Executive GM Violette Mouchaileh will speak at this CEDA event in Sydney.


November 26
National Press Club

Deputy Opposition Leader and former energy spokesman Ted O’Brien will address the National Press Club at this event in Canberra.


December 9, Sydney and December 11, Melbourne
Energy Tetris

The Energy’s first live event will feature Quinbrook CEO Brian Restall, Energy Security Corporation CEO Paul Peters, Southerly Ten Chief Development Officer Erin Coldham, CS Energy Head of Policy & Regulation Alison Demaria, Atmos Renewables GM of Development Allison Hawke, ASL GM System Planning & Financial Markets, Melanie Koerner, UNSW Senior Research Associate Dylan McConnell and Energy Edge MD Josh Stabler, with more speakers to be confirmed soon.

The Energy

The Energy is dedicated to covering the business of energy and in particular the people, capital, projects and emerging technology behind the energy transition.

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