Australia's great big energy own goal


Hey Reader, in case you missed it last week our website went live and with it we have a back catalogue of insightful news, context and analysis. In today's edition:

  • Australia's Trumpian arc of climate and energy policy
  • All aboard for energy security
  • Preparing for COP30 without the US

Australia's great big energy own goal

Today in the first of a three-part series, Dan Cass explores the 'Trumpian arc' of Australian climate and energy policy.

Expert view

“As Australia basked in praise of the ‘best-ever’ Olympic Games of Sydney 2000, an F-111 ‘pig’ — an aircraft never used in combat — performed a dump and burn over the harbour marking a comet-like high point for sport and peace.
The Sydney Olympic village PV was made nearby at BP Solar’s factory, the southern hemisphere’s largest.
In 2001 Prime Minister John Howard legislated a Mandatory Renewable Energy Target of 2% by 2010. The International Energy Agency had recently predicted solar and wind would reach a 2% global milestone by 2020.
Despite moments of bipartisan agreement between 2000 and 2007, Howard’s climate commitment was tricky. He talked up emissions reduction and renewables but instigated the culture war against science - and economics - that has defined the long Trumpian arc of Australian climate and energy policy ever since."
Dan Cass
Research Affiliate, Sydney Environment Institute

Major powers circling the clean energy wagons

Energy security goes up when energy dependence on fossil fuels goes down, European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen reminded a two-day energy summit in London.

“We are facing a new paradigm for energy security. In Europe we witnessed first-hand how Russia intentionally weaponised energy supplies. In the Middle East, conflict has stoked instability and threatened global shipping. And across the Atlantic, the threat of tariffs risks further disruption of crucial supply chains … If we triple renewable energy and double energy efficiency we will bring reliable and affordable energy to millions more around the world.” — European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen

Ahead of the UK/IEA Energy Security Summit 2025, over 130 private sector organisations called on governments to anchor renewables, efficiency, storage and grids at the core of national energy plans and policies.

How?

  • Remove barriers to corporate clean energy procurement
  • Scale and optimise energy infrastructure, including energy efficiency, storage, demand response, and strategic grid upgrades
  • Build resilient clean energy supply chains
  • Invest in a future-ready workforce
  • Realign incentives, such as repurposing fossil fuel subsidies
  • Expand clean energy access to underserved regions.

The United Kingdom was going “all out” to be a clean energy superpower, Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer told the summit, rejecting calls from his right to double down on gas and stall on climate action.

“We won’t wait – We’ll accelerate,” Starmer said.

International Energy Agency head Dr Fatih Birol also warned against taking energy security for granted and said the concentration of energy transition minerals supply was risky.

High Commissioner Stephen Smith, a former defence, foreign affairs and trade minister, represented the Australian government at the summit. Prime Minister Anthony Albanese has pledged to invest $1.2 billion in a strategic reserve for critical minerals if elected.

Even if Australia stockpiles more critical minerals, the refining process of rare earths will still largely be controlled by China. (BBC)

China, Brazil prepare for COP30 without US

UN Secretary-General António Guterres called on leaders to submit strong national climate plans ahead of COP30 in Brazil and to accelerate the transition to renewable energy. (UN News)

To assist countries to include the fair phase-out of fossil fuels in their national climate plans, WWF published a new report Phasing out Fossil Fuels Through NDCs 3.0: Guidance for Policy-Makers.

The day after a US State Department proposal to shutter its climate-negotiations office, Guterres said: “No group or government can stop the clean energy revolution.” (Inside Climate News)

The Climate Change Authority is developing advice on the 2035 emissions reduction targets for Australia's next Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC), combining industrial and energy network transition plans, and has foreshadowed a target in the range of 65-75% below 2005 levels as “ambitious and achievable”.

Renewables are the lowest-cost solutions for every Southeast Asian country, making them an efficient way to protect local economies from tariff fallout. (IEEFA)

Meanwhile, Trump administration officials were attempting to block the IEA from producing data that the US government argues favours renewable power over fossil fuels. (Politico)

Catch up

Policy

A Coalition government would axe the $3 billion fringe benefits tax exemption for EVs, if elected. National Automotive Leasing and Salary Packaging Association CEO Rohan Martin warned dumping the FBT exemption would also have a greater impact in some of the electorates the Coalition was hoping to flip on May 3. (ABC)

The Nationals remain worried about the rise of EVs and free-riders on the road network, particularly in Victoria.

“We've been really clear about the EV exemption for fringe benefit tax. We don't think it's fair people that live in places like Donnybrook and McEwen are subsidising those who can afford to purchase an electric vehicle. The other issue with the increase in electric vehicle drivers is they're not contributing to our road tax.” — Nationals Senator Bridget McKenzie on ABC’s Insiders

Cutting the fuel excise would appear to limit the budget for fixing potholes on rural roads.

Meanwhile Greens Senator Sarah Hanson-Young said the Coalition’s “EV tax” was a threat to the cost of living.

And still no sign of a rival household batteries policy to match Labor’s discount.

The Dutch government approved a US$13 billion package of measures to accelerate the country's energy transition, while supporting industrial competitiveness. (S&P Global)


Capital

Chevron and Saudi Aramco are among the world’s biggest companies that have caused US$28 trillion in climate damage, according to a study published in the scientific journal Nature that could inform future litigation. (Fortune)

“Everybody’s asking the same question: What can we actually claim about who has caused this? And that really comes down to a thermodynamic question of can we trace climate hazards and/or their damages back to particular emitters?” — Climate scientist and co-author Justin Mankin

Projects

ElectraNet began community engagement on its proposed Northern Transmission Project (NTx) with the first in a series of workshops in Port Augusta, Burra and Gawler. (Energy Magazine)

Identified as an “actionable project” in AEMO’s 2024 Integrated System Plan, the NTx project will increase power transfer capacity across South Australia’s transmission network, according to ElectraNet. NTx has also been identified as a national energy priority project by the federal Department of Climate Change, Energy, the Environment and Water, which will fast-track environmental approvals.


Regulation

Used EV batteries could power vehicles, houses or even towns – if their manufacturers share vital data. (The Conversation)

The AEMC’s Reliability Panel provided feedback on AEMO’s first Transition Plan for System Security (TPSS), which must be published annually under a new obligation.

The TPSS will provide information to market participants on how AEMO is planning to maintain system security through the transition to a low- or zero-emissions system, AEMO’s current technical understanding of what is needed to maintain power system security, and the work AEMO is undertaking to improve this understanding and specify the range of security services that will be required.

A group of lawyers from non-profit group Climate Integrity referred Australians for Natural Gas to the ACCC alleging the group made misleading claims and failed to disclose directors' interests. (The Guardian)


Research

Clean hydrogen researchers at Tohoku University produced cathodes that could bridge the gap from laboratory to factory for commercial-scale proton exchange membrane (PEM) electrolysers. "We're getting close to an affordable method to produce fuel,” Heng Liu of the Advanced Institute for Materials Research said. (Advanced Energy Materials)


Technology

Former US Treasury secretary Henry Paulson says clean energy will be critical for the US to win the AI race with China. (Financial Times)

China's installed capacity of wind and photovoltaic power reached 1.482 billion kilowatts by the end of March, exceeding that of thermal power for the first time in history, official data showed on Friday. (Xinhua) (Reuters)


Random

The 1976 Flowers Commission would be delighted that wind, solar and other renewables have largely replaced nuclear power, and puzzled about a fresh push to expand it. (Guardian)

What's on

April 29
Q1 market update

Fortescue Group’s CEO Metals Dino Otranto, CEO Energy Mark Hutchinson and CFO Apple Paget will update the market on March quarter production.


May 1
CEDA Climate & Energy Summit

Superpower Institute Director Professor Ross Garnaut and Climate Change Authority Chair Matt Kean will speak at this Melbourne event. They will be joined by Victorian Minister for Energy Lily D'Ambrosio and AEMO CEO Daniel Westerman.


May 6
Australian Wind Industry Forum

Australian Energy Infrastructure Commissioner Tony Maher will deliver a keynote address in Melbourne at the Clean Energy Council’s onshore wind industry event.

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