An investment with durability


Hey Reader, welcome to The Energy.

In today's edition:

  • Transition capital optimism
  • NSW State Budget goes high-tech
  • Keeping DNSPs in their lane

Energy transition mega-trend ‘unstoppable’

Amid intense geopolitics and market uncertainty, leading global investment house Hamilton Lane is focused on themes that are durable: the energy transition and climate change.

“It’s one of the exciting areas of private markets – capital is being attracted either because it can be a change agent or it can be providing a solution or continuing growth,” Managing Director of the Direct Equity Team on Impact Investing, Dave Helgerson, told The Energy during a visit to Australia.

In a capital-constrained environment, it may be taking longer to raise funds in private equity markets, managers are looking for more capital partners, and they’re being more careful and diligent, but that’s welcome too.

Expert view

"We think that’s a good investing environment - if you have capital, you want that. That means more rational pricing, maybe even attractive pricing and less exuberance around following and jumping into themes and trends.

“We like that from a risk-return perspective, and so we look at those changes, the volatility, the uncertainty, the market dynamics, the hesitation of lower pricing, alongside the continued global trends … There’s also a bit of de-globalisation happening, driven by increasing tariffs or threats of increasing tariffs, geopolitical factors, and a focus on regional needs.

“On the other hand, what we’re focused on are themes that are durable, that are mega-trends that are really unstoppable. And those trends are energy transition, supporting areas that need capital to solve issues … The other big theme, around climate change, is not stopping either.”

David Helgersen
Head of Impact Investing, Hamilton Lane

NSW State Budget goes high-tech

A new Investment Delivery Authority and almost $80 million in “innovation funding” will be among the highlights for tech and energy in the 2025-26 NSW budget on Tuesday. A lowlight may be Eraring.

“We have listened to what we are being told, loud and clear: everything in NSW is awesome, except for how long it takes to get major projects done,” Treasurer Daniel Mookhey said.

The unicorn-hunting Innovation Blueprint, looking for the next Atlassian, includes:

  • $38.5 million to turbocharge the Tech Central innovation hub
  • $20 million for Emerging Technology Commercialisation in Housing and Energy
  • $6 million to extend the existing Minimum Viable Products Ventures program to support more startups at the early stages of development
  • $6 million to support manufacturing businesses to adopt innovative technologies
  • $4 million to support tech founder diversity by providing training programs for female founders and our future tech leaders living and working in Western Sydney and regional NSW

NEXTDC (ASX: NXT), which has over $15 billion in energy-hungry AI infrastructure projects planned across NSW, warned traditional planning systems had been outgrown.

“These aren’t just data centres - they’re sovereign-scale assets designed to power the AI era. Conventional frameworks are now facing first-of-a-kind scale challenges. This reform clears the path for accelerated approvals and long-term certainty - unlocking the investment required to deliver national capability and positioning NSW as a global destination for next-generation digital infrastructure.” - NEXTDC CEO Craig Scroggie

Ring-fencing 'gold plating' DNSPs

Regulated electricity distribution network monopolies have been accused of driving up consumer costs and undermining innovation by exploiting loopholes to expand into competitive clean energy markets, particularly batteries and EV charging.

Backed by guaranteed profits and little incentive for efficiency, their involvement threatens to stall progress on uptake of consumer energy resources, according to a Nexa Advisory report. For example, the Community Batteries for Household Solar program showed DNSP-led batteries cost an average of $2,300 per kWh, compared to $1,330 per kWh for batteries through the competitive market.

Actionable insights for Energy Ministers and the Australian Energy Regulator:

  • Explicitly rule out DNSP ownership of assets like EV chargers and community batteries where competitive markets can deliver
  • Pause all new ring-fencing waivers until the impacts of those already granted have been fully evaluated, especially in emerging areas like EV charging
  • An independent review to examine the role, regulation, and incentives of DNSPs and the “bias toward capital-heavy solutions”
  • Ministers should agree enforceable obligations for DNSPs to share granular data on network operations, hosting capacity, and constraints.

Catch up

Capital

Woodside Energy (ASX: WDS) and Scarborough stakeholder JERA announced a non-binding heads of agreement for the sale and purchase of LNG cargoes for five years from 2027, but only during Japan’s peak winter months unlike most such supply deals.

“This agreement not only strengthens our relationship with JERA but also reinforces the critical role Woodside plays in supporting Japan’s energy security through the reliable supply of LNG. We look forward to further collaboration with Japanese partners as we progress towards the startup of our new LNG projects, including the Scarborough Energy Project, where first cargo is targeted for the second half of 2026.” - Woodside Chief Commercial Officer Mark Abbotsford

Oil prices fell sharply on the back of Iran’s retaliatory strikes against US military bases in Qatar and Iraq as the attacks did not affect Middle Eastern oil infrastructure. (Politico)

The closure of the Strait of Hormuz remains an unlikely event, Oxford Energy Institute Senior Research Fellow Mike Fulwood said, in a new paper on the impact a closure would have on global gas markets. The paper predicts a closure would result in a similar price shock to that of 2022, following the Russian invasion of Ukraine, with European and Asian spot and hub prices approaching $30 per MMBTU – compared to the current 12-month TTF forward curve of some $13 to $14.


Projects

WA-based Ardea Resources (ASX: ARL) updated the market on the Goongarrie Hub Project, which is being developed in anticipation of long-term demand for sustainably produced nickel to standards required by its Japanese battery supply chain partners.

Supporting the New Zealand government’s objective of doubling renewable energy generation by 2050, three solar projects received loans from a Regional Infrastructure Fund to ensure security of local energy supply and community resilience:

  • Rakiura/Stewart Island – a suspensory loan of up to NZ$15.35m to Southland District Council to build the first stage of a solar farm, and network upgrades, replacing high-cost, diesel-generated electricity for the island’s 494 permanent electricity connections
  • Ongaonga, Hawke’s Bay – a loan of up to NZ$8m to consumer-owned local lines company Centralines Ltd to build a 35ha solar farm to generate 52GW annually and provide about 9,000 connections with a local source of generation
  • Te Kaha, Bay of Plenty – a loan of up to NZ$4.75m to Te Huata Charitable Trust to build an 804kW-peak solar farm to ensure reliable electricity supply to about 320 homes and businesses.
“Solar power is playing an increasingly important role in increasing electricity generation in New Zealand. It will help us reach our renewable energy targets and bolster the security and affordability of our energy supply.” - NZ Energy Minister Simon Watts

A plan to frack 15 gas wells in the Northern Territory’s Beetaloo Basin was challenged by Lock The Gate in the Federal Court. The case involving Tamboran (ASX: TBN) will be the first legal challenge launched against fracking under the federal water trigger legislation and is expected to run for several days. (AAP)


Policy

The escalating conflict in the Middle East has enormous implications for Australia’s transport energy security and is a wakeup call to rapidly accelerate the electrification of heavy road freight, according to New Energy Transport co-founder Daniel Bleakley.

The UK government said big users of electricity like aerospace, automotive and chemicals firms would be exempted from several climate schemes from 2027 to reduce their bills and protect skilled jobs. As part of the government’s new 10-year industrial strategy heavy industries like steel, chemicals and glass would also have their network charges discounted by 90% from next year – up from 60% currently. (The Guardian) (BBC)

Myanmar’s Prime Minister called for cooperation among government ministries to increase domestic solar panel production and expand industrial use of solar energy. (PV Magazine)


Regulation

Victoria’s cabinet weighed the new electrification regulation for households to replace gas heaters and hot water systems with electric appliances from 2026. Independent modelling released by the Energy Efficiency Council showed a reduction in gas use in Victorian homes could free up an average of 96PJ a year through to 2035 to support industries impacted by high prices and gas supply shortfalls.


Technology

Are small modular reactors, or SMRs, a practical evolution of nuclear energy, or do they inherit the same flaws of their predecessors? South Korea is in a heated debate over the government’s push for SMRs, as the Lee Jae Myung administration champions what it calls a “pragmatic” energy policy.


Climate

As London Climate Action Week begins, London Mayor Sadiq Khan and Paris Mayor Anne Hidalgo stood up to well-funded climate deniers they said were spreading misinformation about the climate crisis. (The Guardian)

“As leaders of C40 Cities and the Global Covenant of Mayors for Climate & Energy, we are committing to tackle disinformation not just with facts but with fairer, better policies rooted in people’s everyday realities. We are building capacity across city networks to support trusted messengers, train local leaders and develop new tools to proactively counter misinformation. But we also need others to act. We are calling on national governments, journalists, educators and tech companies to step up.” - Mayors Sadiq Khan and Anne Hidalgo

US power prices spiked to more than six-month highs on the back of a dangerous heat wave in the eastern states. (Reuters) (AP News)


People

Star of the South and Oceanex Energy co-founder Andy Evans was appointed as a Global Wind Energy Council (GWEC) Ambassador. “With Australia’s recent election signalling a renewed commitment to clean energy, it’s a timely opportunity to help reinvigorate the global wind and renewables industry, starting right at home,” he said.


Research

A new white paper from energy think tank Ember set out how near-continuous “24/365” solar power has become an economic and technological reality in sunny regions. (Capital Brief)

UTS research suggested global warming is increasing the frequency and intensity of wind gusts from thunderstorm “downbursts”. (The Conversation)


Random

If you don’t have an EV, you may want to fill up your tank today. (ABC) (MSN)

What's on

June 24-25
Noosa Power & Energy Conference

Climate Change Authority Chair Matt Kean, Grattan Institute Energy and Climate Change Program Director Tony Wood, Windlab Director of Policy Maggie Shelton and Energy Estate Co-founder Simon Currie are speaking at this new Queensland event.


June 25
NSW Budget Address

NSW Treasurer Daniel Mookhey will break down the 2025/26 State Budget at a CEDA event in Sydney.


June 25
National Press Club

Opposition Leader Sussan Ley will outline her agenda for the upcoming 48th Parliament at this Canberra event.


June 26
NSW Budget Breakfast

NSW Treasurer Daniel Mookhey will speak at a post-budget breakfast at a Property Council event in Sydney.


June 30
Queensland Budget Address

Queensland Treasurer David Janetzki will deliver his first State Budget address at this CEDA event in Brisbane.


July 1
Safeguard Symposium

John Connor will host his last event as CEO of the Carbon Market Institute, leading experts for a discussion in Sydney of market dynamics under the Safeguard Mechanism, finance and investment in ACCU supply, carbon price reform, and insights on climate policy.


July 17-18
Carbon Capture APAC Summit

Chevron General Manager of Energy Transition David Fallon, Beach Energy CEO Brett Woods, CarbonNet Project Director Jane Burton, Geoscience Director of Offshore Energy Systems Merrie-Ellen Gunning are among speakers at this event in Melbourne.


July 22
Smart Energy South Australia

Federal Energy Minister Chris Bowen will headline at the Smart Energy Council conference and expo in Adelaide.


July 29-30
Australian Clean Energy Summit (ACES) 2025

AEMO CEO Daniel Westerman, AEMC Chair Anna Collyer, Climate Change Authority Chair Matt Kean, AGL CEO Damien Nicks, Iberdrola Australia CEO Ross Rolfe and Squadron Energy CEO Rob Wheals are among the lineup at the Clean Energy Council’s flagship event in Sydney.


July 30
Australian Sustainable Finance Summit

Treasury Deputy Secretary Angelia Grant, Original Power Executive Director Karrina Nolan, and Australian Office of Financial Management CEO Anna Hughes are among the line-up at this Sydney event.

The Energy

The Energy is dedicated to covering the business of energy and in particular the people, capital, projects and emerging technology behind the energy transition.

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